WEATHER53

Ok so getting back to the Josh Isnt Dead party at Old Ebbits in DC, when can you make it???

Let’s throw a Josh Isnt Dead party in DC. Say when!! You are so skilled but I thought bad fortune had arrived.

I am so happy you made it

Here come the inflow clouds, breezy and getting cooler.

Cape May is wonderful

I think the ENSO results are Not as “in stone” determinant as we thought back 2003-2013. You had people swearing and livid that analogs could not be used because a referenced year was a weak Nina and the upcoming year looked to be weak Nino. I don’t know and I don’t think anybody really does what is the deciding factor. I do know that for the DC area if the cold air does not set up almost perfectly then snow is hard to come by but what controls and dictates that is up to debate and discovery.

Yeah I think you are next in line behind Matt and Keith but very close and your stats suggest even better. I know I always value yours and look forward to it.

KA has retired from the long range forecasts. Other than Matt Ross nobody had a lengthy track record like that, approaching 70% and to my record keeping since 1980 there were just 4 times where he missed on both snowfall and temps with 22 double hits and just the four mentioned double misses. i will be still doing mine and I’m about 62/63% but not as good as he or Matt.

NWS in the overall does an adequate job. It may be a C or B- but they don’t fail. I don’t evaluate them as if they are the only source. I don’t think they have to be “the very best” source either. They serve the public. They may not serve us well enough but we have sharper needs and info.

Wrong Again over and over

Time for you to go. Past time.

After all this Part One . Now Part Two

Not a wobble. Shying away from land plus steering winds starting to influence

So has the “it’s dead” crowd killed that idea?

It’s going to intensify