nj2va

Low of 16, currently at 26. Had some spotty freezing rain earlier.

My guess is Kuchera looks low due to the 700 temps. The cold push is impressive on the Euro though.

It seems that this event will have more frozen for the cities than last weeks event so we have that going for us. I’d be happy with the general consensus so far of 2-4” on the front end. Anything but 35 degree rain for 24 hours please.

Exactly, I think faster onset will the key for 95 areas to get a few inches of snow. I tend to think these WAA setups have precip breaking out quicker than modeled so we have that going for us presumably. My bar is seeing more than 30-60 minutes of frozen which would be more than I got out last week’s storm which turned into mid 30s rain for 99% of it for me.

So that’s NAM, new GFS, and CMC with quicker solutions. 00z is good overall so far.

FV3 has snow breaking out by 6z Wednesday in DC. Thump to ice to dry slot. I’m a fan. The weenie in me says this will be the new OP so might as well toss the old GFS.

Amen. I’m a conservative too (a gay, Catholic, conservative no less) and what this country needs desperately is respect, tolerance, and an open mind to differing views. It’s shocking how disrespectful society is in general these days. It seems people only want conversation with those who agree with them — its dangerous and close minded and it happens way too often these days.

I can’t believe I’m saying this but it oddly feels good to have the NAM on our side...it was never on board with today’s threat even though Euro 3 days out showed 7”.

FWIW EPS snowfall probabilities for DC: >1” 86% >3” 70% >6” 33%

6z and 18z only run to hour 90.

That’s not a bad look there at all. It would be great if we can get that primary into eastern TN at that time to throw the precip into the cold quicker. At this point I’m rooting for hot and heavy WWA given the CAD. “Easier” to score than trying to win a coastal redevelopment battle for our latitude.

Yeah, Arlington. Snowmaps have 6” in Garrett and 4-5” for your area.

Pivotal is quicker than TT. 3-4” for you and I and heavy ice verbatim to dry slot. Would be a fun event.

We need a storm where the is pulled out to describe a model run.

Speed it up by 3-6 hours and it’d be a really healthy thump. Weenie handbook says precip breaks out quicker than modeled in WAA setups.