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nj2va

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About nj2va

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Arlington, VA/McHenry, MD (2900')

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  1. nj2va

    PD Weekend 2019 Storm Threats

    Low of 16, currently at 26. Had some spotty freezing rain earlier.
  2. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    My guess is Kuchera looks low due to the 700 temps. The cold push is impressive on the Euro though.
  3. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    It seems that this event will have more frozen for the cities than last weeks event so we have that going for us. I’d be happy with the general consensus so far of 2-4” on the front end. Anything but 35 degree rain for 24 hours please.
  4. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    Exactly, I think faster onset will the key for 95 areas to get a few inches of snow. I tend to think these WAA setups have precip breaking out quicker than modeled so we have that going for us presumably. My bar is seeing more than 30-60 minutes of frozen which would be more than I got out last week’s storm which turned into mid 30s rain for 99% of it for me.
  5. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    So that’s NAM, new GFS, and CMC with quicker solutions. 00z is good overall so far.
  6. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    FV3 has snow breaking out by 6z Wednesday in DC. Thump to ice to dry slot. I’m a fan. The weenie in me says this will be the new OP so might as well toss the old GFS.
  7. nj2va

    February Banter 2019

    Amen. I’m a conservative too (a gay, Catholic, conservative no less) and what this country needs desperately is respect, tolerance, and an open mind to differing views. It’s shocking how disrespectful society is in general these days. It seems people only want conversation with those who agree with them — its dangerous and close minded and it happens way too often these days.
  8. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    I can’t believe I’m saying this but it oddly feels good to have the NAM on our side...it was never on board with today’s threat even though Euro 3 days out showed 7”.
  9. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    FWIW EPS snowfall probabilities for DC: >1” 86% >3” 70% >6” 33%
  10. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    6z and 18z only run to hour 90.
  11. nj2va

    February 19-21, 2019 storm threat

    That’s not a bad look there at all. It would be great if we can get that primary into eastern TN at that time to throw the precip into the cold quicker. At this point I’m rooting for hot and heavy WWA given the CAD. “Easier” to score than trying to win a coastal redevelopment battle for our latitude.
  12. Yeah, Arlington. Snowmaps have 6” in Garrett and 4-5” for your area.
  13. Pivotal is quicker than TT. 3-4” for you and I and heavy ice verbatim to dry slot. Would be a fun event.
  14. We need a storm where the is pulled out to describe a model run.
  15. Speed it up by 3-6 hours and it’d be a really healthy thump. Weenie handbook says precip breaks out quicker than modeled in WAA setups.
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