“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco

[brooklynwx99]

Just now, Kitz Craver said:

Lol, starting to feel bad Wolfie isn’t down here for this…

they hated jesus too

[Damage In Tolland]

Iceberg runner can rest easy now. Throws deform well into his area and beyond 

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, OrangeCTWX said:

How about the panel before that? 

[dendrite]

Pump up the jam

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, brooklynwx99 said:

they hated jesus too

Amen brother 

[MuddyWx]

Lets gooooo 

[SouthCoastMA]

2.2" liquid here on AI. wow

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

CORY, HOW SERIOUS IS THIS STORM MONDAY!?  

 

Well….. how long did I talk to the Master for?  

Tip talked to him for 25 minutes

[Johnno]

Man just full nudity even back here on that Euro now 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

2.2" liquid here on AI. wow

A little under 2" on the OP run...you're gonna get a HECS there. The only question is how far NW do the HECS numbers get....do they get back to central MA/E CT like 2015 did? Or do the HECS totals stay closer to shore like 2022. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Tip talked to him for 25 minutes

Yeah but when it's email exchanges, it's probably just 3 or 4 emails. Or in Tip's case, he might have finished one. 

[ineedsnow]

BOX should issue watches for the rest of the CWA tonight

[SnoSki14]

25 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

One of the more fantastic en masse ens corrections for a system that impressively deep ( in terms of implication) I've seen at 72+ hours ... Here's the thing, usually that type of depth in an ens mean isn't really seen until it's almost on top of the event - it's an indication that there are few if any really, members that stray off into shitsville.  Stunning collocated agreement in amplitude - but then to move that to that particular location ...yikes.  

I don't wanna over state what the models are ... pretty much overstating for us.  But if the Euro comes in at this sort of range and marries to the GFS, confidence in this going from an impressive event to a blockbuster/historic implication goes up a notch. 

Which then would enter the next level problem. Grandiosity is not really one can forecast very well or count on - rarely so.  It almost has to materialize out of just an impressive looking storm that then goes out of control.  The last time a system modeled historic, and ended up that way, is definitely 1993 and perhaps waiting 30 years to see that again.   Interesting aspects going on now..

I saw that and was in awe. I don't recall seeing a 60-72 hour ensemble prog that strong. The true scope of what's unfolding may not even be apparent yet if that's correct. 

[Prismshine Productions]

Pump up the jam

75mi shift and I am in the 1" QPF club... Is that too much to ask ..

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[Fozz]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

BOX should issue watches for the rest of the CWA tonight

I think they will. They can’t downplay this anymore.

[hooralph]

[dendrite]

13 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Let’s curl this vortmax into the police cruiser

Getting closer. Hopefully purple pixels over the baby bottle at 00z.

[ineedsnow]

about 50 miles NW of 12z

 

[moneypitmike]

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Doubtful on this one.

 

Agreed---this never really had a chance for up here, though it's tantalizingly close.  We'll enjoy the 3" and take solace in the fact we don't need to shovel 2'.

And, we won't  spend as much time on our computers!

[ma blizzard]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

A little under 2" on the OP run...you're gonna get a HECS there. The only question is how far NW do the HECS numbers get....do they get back to central MA/E CT like 2015 did? Or do the HECS totals stay closer to shore like 2022. 

how do we achieve this? amp it up a bit more and rip the track like 50 mi nw? or get lucky and have the deform band pivot overhead? 

[Baroclinic Zone]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

 

Agreed---this never really had a chance for up here, though it's tantalizingly close.  We'll enjoy the 3" and take solace in the fact we don't need to shovel 2'.

And, we won't  spend as much time on our computers!

And why are you “up there” as opposed to being in PVD or Mattapoisett?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

The mid level magic deform band has epic potential for somebody.  

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, ma blizzard said:

how do we achieve this? amp it up a bit more and rip the track like 50 mi nw? or get lucky and have the deform band pivot overhead? 

Yeah there's multiple ways to do it, but the most likely is just getting stuck under some bands. It will help if we can advect a MAUL aloft like Tip and I were discussing earlier....as H5 deepens more and more rapidly, that will help. We want it to be deepening very rapidly as it passes just SE of LI and then south of the islands. 

The other way is if you can get a bit of a stall....even for 4-6 hours as it gets totally stacked. That seems to be happening a bit to our SW making coastal NJ the beneficiary, but these things can change a bit...it's been slowly migrating northeast. 

[moneypitmike]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

And why are you “up there” as opposed to being in PVD or Mattapoisett?

I'm back in the world of work.  What sucks is that I will be driving down tomorrow to work on the new Pit and will leave Sunday afternoon as hisotry is being made. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

The mid level magic deform band has epic potential for somebody.  

You to Runaway . It’s there in the RH fields 

[RDRY]

Meanwhile, record-low seasonal snowfall in Colorado. 

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

You to Runaway . It’s there in the RH fields 

Euro 10 to 1

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah there's multiple ways to do it, but the most likely is just getting stuck under some bands. It will help if we can advect a MAUL aloft like Tip and I were discussing earlier....as H5 deepens more and more rapidly, that will help. We want it to be deepening very rapidly as it passes just SE of LI and then south of the islands. 

The other way is if you can get a bit of a stall....even for 4-6 hours as it gets totally stacked. That seems to be happening a bit to our SW making coastal NJ the beneficiary, but these things can change a bit...it's been slowly migrating northeast. 

Let’s get an arc of convection in like 4/1/97

[SouthCoastMA]

23 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Can we pull off a triple burger here?

Tblizz will

[Baroclinic Zone]

Can already see EPS coming in tighter.