DomNH

Just snizzle here under the heavier echoes. DGZ is fried.

Guess my eyes are wrong! Either way about what I expected.

Eyeballing about an inch or so. Guessing it either never really fully flipped or we couldn’t sustain good lift. Drizzle now.

3:30 am get up to get a glass of water ob: SN maybe 1/2’’ to 1’’. Meh

Still RAPL last ob before bed. Maybe wake up to a surprise but 2-4 crusty inches still seems about right. Maybe some mangled flakes in there too.

We’ve already wasted 0.6’’…it’s going to really have to bang from midnight to 6 am.

-RA here in these lulls. No snow yet.

Man the radar really does look like garbage. New HRRR develops a heavy band near the border later on for a few hours then dries right back out again.

Scalped. Road is slick.

Meanwhile the NAM won't budge on all sleet then follows the HRRR in drying things out aloft by daybreak.

Hearing the first of many pings.

My gut still says crud but there's definitely an avenue to warning snow if everything breaks right and it pounds 1-2'' an hour from midnight to 6 am. Hate the H7 low in NY State though - to me that screams showery banded radar and that ain't going to cut it.

Really have no idea if I'll wake up to 6-7'' of pure concrete and no power tomorrow or 3'' of crud. At least it looks like things improve pretty quickly in the morning. Cautiously optimistic my 3 pm out of MHT will survive.

HRRR is also the quickest to fizzle things out tomorrow morning in SNE. Really pounds for a few hours though north of Route 2.

17z HRRR might be the coldest run yet.