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    Altoona FL 108ft ASL

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  1. Repeat after me- "PHASING AND TIMING" All together now, all together now. Clown maps are fun but at this range useless except maybe for the jack fetish amongst us and then post emotional attachment. Three days out they become somewhat useful i.e. HRRR, RGEM, and yes, the NAM. Signature for a CF is becoming clearer, but hey it's only a model output. Use the tools given.
  2. These events beat tracking a tropical entity hands-down, twice on Sunday. The variables to consider are far greater, damage far lesser and fun if you know what to look for. From a personal perspective it's always been the time leading to the event not the event itself.
  3. NESIS rating? I think this is a better way of categorizing instead of giving events a name. Thank-you K and U. I just glanced at the website. I believe this one will make top 10. Paul hasn't posted in the forum for eons. Brings out the best of the best.
  4. As for the Tides, leaving that to Steve. New or Full moons always seem to coincide with the biggies, the multiple cycle with a fetch do the most damage and makes sense.
  5. I don't get the poo-poo-ing. Guess you need a dog in the fight to critique. The more it changes accuracy wise, (as the models turn) the more it's the same. Accept no control and you have control. Will never be an exact science; acceptance is the key. Contemplating a "road-trip" if only my health where better!
  6. Must be the season of (witch) "Noreasters" Don't look now but, Pattern locked, reloads and there she blows. Always thought this winter would deliver in a short timeframe! Could be a memorable February.
  7. ATT Early prediction: O/U 100 pages? I'd go over. Which model is least wrong, EURO or GFS? EURO has been fluctuating lately. Go GFS Locked: I'll get no snow LOL
  8. I think it's gonna snow. This set-up is "CLASSIC" Whether it be reports of 100mph gusts, blizzard conditions, or a CF that has 2' cut-off amounts over a stretch of 10 miles. This baby is gonna have it all. Disclaimer: "As depicted NOW" And of course BOMBS AWAY!!!
  9. Looking mighty fine, mighty fine. Adrenaline flowing already, by far the greatest threat this season for the starved. And yet a 2footer will not satisfy the masses. What a hoot it would be to see a 4 seed play a 6 seed in the SB.
  10. Slip-sliding away? Not necessarily, the players have yet to enter the playing field. WAY to MUCH emotional posts, (taken verbatim) is a weenie trait) do not fall onto that trap. The mean trough is still present, hgts upstream, downstream are going to fluctuate, strength of vorticity, orientation of trough axis will change. It's an OP model output. IMHO it's wrong especially with such lead-time. Relax, because nobody can control the chaos. It's only a threat, being something to track is better than nada.
  11. Way out in la-la-land (outside of 3 days) the 00z GFS snow depth change maps have 2' amounts in SEMA. Now to get some consistency and agreement on models. Way overdue, increasing interest and threat.
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