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brooklynwx99

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About brooklynwx99

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    Party like it's 1999
  • Birthday 06/18/1999

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KJFK
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    Male
  • Location:
    Bay Ridge, Brooklyn

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  1. You can see how the steering currents in the W Atlantic force the storm north. This is due to the combination of the trough in the eastern US and the WAR. As the trough becomes negatively tilted, Irma has nowhere to go except for NW, right into the eastern US coast. With this being said, it will still take about a week for the track of Irma to be more well defined. All options are on the table at this point: a strike to the east coast (Florida to Maine), a fish storm, or possibly even a GOM storm. It's too early to know, as the CONUS pattern may become completely different as next week rolls on. With this being said, the risk for a US landfall is much higher than normal at this point in time. Pay attention to this one for sure.
  2. Wow. Eventual full capture over Maine per 00z GFS. Just another possible outcome on the table.
  3. I actually just started my education at Penn State towards a degree in atmospheric science. The weather has always been a hobby for me, and I've learned a lot by myself and through this forum (and similar weather forums). My attitude was that it would be awesome to formally learn about something that has always fascinated me, and you might feel the same way. If you do, then try giving it a shot. I know that math and physics are going to be challenging, so if you're good at those subjects and enjoy them you should also enjoy learning about the weather in college. Just my two cents.
  4. Pretty ominous... Looks to be some bowing towards NJ and south too.
  5. I think that the banding will be a nowcast situation, as they are usually really fickle. The only way to know if you'll get hit is to see it moving over you. But seeing models have it gives the banding a higher probability.
  6. One of the reasons for the NAM's high precip totals is a small band of high VVs that pivots over the area. If this occurs, then high snowfall can happen, but this type of banding is very difficult to predict. You can only be sure of its occurrence if the banding is developing right over your head. One of the better things about this setup is the influence from a developing coastal instead of a pure Norlun trough. Be wary (the majority of you already are).
  7. Both the NAM and GFS agree on the idea of decent lift in the area. The forecast on the GFS is more favorable, however, as it concentrates VVs in the DGZ, unlike the NAM. The only problem I see are BL temps, but the timing of this snowfall may aid in that department. The RGEM is a good example of this, as the surface steadily cools to below 0C, flipping NYC to snow.
  8. It was because the 700mb low was in an unfavorable position. Since it was west of NYC, the 700mb layer was flooded with warmth, creating sleet.
  9. Just shoveled. 7.5" of the densest snow I've ever seen. Still snowing light-mod.
  10. Looking great so far. All the energy ahead of the trough in the last image is incredible.
  11. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/
  12. 33F with -SN.
  13. This system is taking in a ton of moisture from the tropics and pushing it right up the coast. Juiced. 700mb moisture is also making its way up the coast. The 700mb LP is developing, as shown by the kink in heights off the NC coast.
  14. This system is taking in a ton of moisture from the tropics and pushing it right up the coast. Juiced. 700mb moisture is also making its way up the coast. The 700mb LP is developing, as shown by the kink in heights off the NC coast.