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brooklynwx99

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About brooklynwx99

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KMMU
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    Morristown, NJ

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  1. brooklynwx99
    TONI is just regular ONI (traditional), no idea why he calls it that lmao
  2. brooklynwx99
    so the CFS basically shoves the eastern Canadian ridge into the Davis Strait, lol it's an unprecedented super Nino but I'll believe that when I see it
  3. brooklynwx99
    my thinking as of now is that the El Nino will take a foothold on the pattern as we head into autumn, but we will see. as you know, coupling is always pretty weak in the summer
  4. brooklynwx99
    yeah, leaning on the 2015-16 or 1982-83 outcomes right now
  5. brooklynwx99
    my hunch is that there won't be much in terms of number of events but the boom potential always goes up in these years. HECS and nothing else is a distinct possibility think 1982-83 and 2015-16 (which are both good analogs)
  6. brooklynwx99
    1982-83 and 2015-16 are probably my favorite analogs as of now
  7. brooklynwx99
    nah i mean we're likely looking at a warm winter for most anyway
  8. brooklynwx99
    waiting until the spring barrier passes to make an ENSO forecast is pretty standard. I said a couple weeks ago that we are probably getting a super event and that a strong event was likely in early April. not sure what the issue is there
  9. brooklynwx99
    also, let's be real, the only reason why this thread gets 95% of the traffic it does is because of the impact on the following winter, which carries the largest correlation to ENSO, anyway. i doubt anybody cares about the SW monsoon (aside from Raindance) or eastern Pacific algal blooms
  10. brooklynwx99
    these events always begin very EP, that's nothing new. not much support on a persistent EP event... we should see things move basin-wide by the time winter rolls around. looks pretty 2015-16 esque in that regard, not 1997-98
  11. brooklynwx99
    there was also a major block that was poorly forecasted in February... one of the worst pattern busts I've ever seen. if that occurred, things would have turned out a whole lot differently that month
  12. brooklynwx99
    just messing. i agree that we're probably getting a super Nino this year
  13. brooklynwx99
    mario ramirez super nino
  14. brooklynwx99
    if we go the super route, I actually like 1982-83 quite a bit
  15. brooklynwx99
    for the record, this should be a strong Nino per ONI and even RONI, but taking those +2.5C euro forecasts in early April to heart is silly. wait a couple of months and see if it sticks. the euro has overdone many a Nino in the past
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