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  1. Took a while, but this one is delivering big time. Historic storm for this time of year.
  2. GFS late to the party? Say it ain't so. They should rename that model Wallflower (WFL).
  3. I know it's off-topic, but what in the heck is the Euro cooking up for next weekend?
  4. That 2nd system's got a good shot - whisk that first out of here.
  5. RDRY

    March 12th - 13th Scraper

    Northern stream still acts as a kicker.
  6. RDRY

    March 12th - 13th Scraper

    The NAM wants to pop the main surface low well to the east of the main upper-air energy, which just seems meteorologically wrong.
  7. RDRY

    March 12th - 13th Scraper

    NAM has the surface low in the wrong spot at 51 - it should be just off the South Carolina coast.
  8. RDRY

    March 12th - 13th Scraper

    Southern s/w better, northern worse (further north) on GFS.
  9. RDRY

    March 12th - 13th Scraper

    One of those patterns in one of those seasons - bet on the storm and you'll be right (details aside).
  10. No computer model can accurately take all the mitigating factors into account. We've all seen it - heavy snow echoes, little accumulation.
  11. It could snow like this in Queens for 24 hours and not accumulate. The rates are nowhere near sufficient with these temps.
  12. The coast is just a little too close to this bombing low - the precip is mostly nascent convective banding that slows down and congeals just inland.
  13. The coast, even though it's mostly snow now, doesn't seem to be a good spot for this storm. The heavy radar echoes fly through, and then grind to a halt inland, where the snow piles up.
  14. Thundersnow in Maspeth. Loud.
  15. The GFS is a big, steaming pile of useless.