Golf757075

I hope we don't have a big strong low in the Pacific, which is typical in stronger Niños. Hoping its further west to allow occasional cold shots to come south. The -PDO is interesting if it persists, because typically its in sync with Niños. Also, the climate models are just tools. I know most take them with a grain of salt, but am hoping its colder here than they currently indicate. El niños haven't been too kind to us lately, but niñas have done better imo.

Im hopeful we have at least one opportunity in our area. Always about timing. Its fun tracking on the models when we have a legit event. Few and far between around here.

Ive heard that a +qbo with higher solar promotes HLB. Not every time, but most times. Im hopeful we will see one decent winter storm. Also, the NPO is forecasted to be negative most of the winter on the euro. If true, will it matter if the nao and ao are negative this winter?

I hardly ever post in these forums, but I thought this was interesting.

Jax, you seem pretty smart with weather stuff. I found this image interesting. What are your thoughts?

This niño looks to be crazy strong. Nobody denying that. The key if we get cold will be if the niño stays east based. If it does, it will be more difficult to see cold weather compared to central based or east central based imo. Only take one winter storm to make a season. Still way out there but important nonetheless

If we can get any cold air, those images would verify imo this winter

Im wondering if the pdo stays negative will it make a difference or do we want to see it positive for the winter to have a better chance at colder outcomes? Just a question

Ray, good job with the analysis. Like always, hoping things shift that will favor a colder outcome for east of the rockies. Amo and Pdo could be very important.

If we can get a +pdo and some semblance of a -amo, we may be in good shape this winter

Its too far out to know anything. It should be cooler due to clouds and rain. Always fun to speculate. 2015-16 was +qbo east-central based.

Hello everyone. Half the year is over. Here's hoping we can get one decent winter storm this winter. Its always fun to track them but its always about timing

Im cautiously optimistic that we can get one decent winter storm this upcoming winter. Should have an active southern branch and hopefully we have enough cold air. I live in west tennessee and typically we get one event and the occasional 2 events. All about timing

It would be nice. We didn't do well in west tennessee. We did good with the winter storm, but that was it. No mini events or even flurries. I got sad when the heavy snow shifted north with that event in January lol. What's interesting is in January 2010, we had a big winter storm that went west to east and stayed suppressed with alot less blocking and this past one shifted north.

April fools lol