Golf757075

Ray, good job with the analysis. Like always, hoping things shift that will favor a colder outcome for east of the rockies. Amo and Pdo could be very important.

If we can get a +pdo and some semblance of a -amo, we may be in good shape this winter

Its too far out to know anything. It should be cooler due to clouds and rain. Always fun to speculate. 2015-16 was +qbo east-central based.

Hello everyone. Half the year is over. Here's hoping we can get one decent winter storm this winter. Its always fun to track them but its always about timing

Im cautiously optimistic that we can get one decent winter storm this upcoming winter. Should have an active southern branch and hopefully we have enough cold air. I live in west tennessee and typically we get one event and the occasional 2 events. All about timing

It would be nice. We didn't do well in west tennessee. We did good with the winter storm, but that was it. No mini events or even flurries. I got sad when the heavy snow shifted north with that event in January lol. What's interesting is in January 2010, we had a big winter storm that went west to east and stayed suppressed with alot less blocking and this past one shifted north.

April fools lol

Imo, if we get a +pdo and -amo, we should see colder winters more often. We are due for that soon I believe.

I give the winter a B- because we did get a significant winter storm end of last month. Ridge was too far east out west. In my area, we got glancing blows of cold air except for end of January where we had a solid week of cold. We typically get 1 winter storm, but occasionally its twice a winter.

168hrs out, the gfs was showing a monster storm close to the BM, which looks to verify but the euro wasn't at that time. Its just going to get going north and east of DC imo. Location matters most of the time.

Icon is a conservative model, especially with snow from what I've gathered and since its showing this, watch out!

You would have thought the gefs would have shifted way east but didn't unless the gefs sucks in general also lol

If the gefs still looks good, then gfs has some merit, albeit not as strong as depicted.

I don't see anymore snow/ice if the ao/epo don't trend negative imo

Im still hopeful we can get a March snow event. We have had our biggest snows ever in March in our area.