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Golf757075

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Everything posted by Golf757075

  1. Golf757075
    I hope we don't have a big strong low in the Pacific, which is typical in stronger Niños. Hoping its further west to allow occasional cold shots to come south. The -PDO is interesting if it persists, because typically its in sync with Niños. Also, the climate models are just tools. I know most take them with a grain of salt, but am hoping its colder here than they currently indicate. El niños haven't been too kind to us lately, but niñas have done better imo.
  2. Golf757075
    Im hopeful we have at least one opportunity in our area. Always about timing. Its fun tracking on the models when we have a legit event. Few and far between around here.
  3. Golf757075
    Ive heard that a +qbo with higher solar promotes HLB. Not every time, but most times. Im hopeful we will see one decent winter storm. Also, the NPO is forecasted to be negative most of the winter on the euro. If true, will it matter if the nao and ao are negative this winter?
  4. Golf757075
    I hardly ever post in these forums, but I thought this was interesting.
  5. Golf757075
    Jax, you seem pretty smart with weather stuff. I found this image interesting. What are your thoughts?
  6. Golf757075
    This niño looks to be crazy strong. Nobody denying that. The key if we get cold will be if the niño stays east based. If it does, it will be more difficult to see cold weather compared to central based or east central based imo. Only take one winter storm to make a season. Still way out there but important nonetheless
  7. Golf757075
    If we can get any cold air, those images would verify imo this winter
  8. Golf757075
    Im wondering if the pdo stays negative will it make a difference or do we want to see it positive for the winter to have a better chance at colder outcomes? Just a question
  9. Golf757075
    Ray, good job with the analysis. Like always, hoping things shift that will favor a colder outcome for east of the rockies. Amo and Pdo could be very important.
  10. Golf757075
    If we can get a +pdo and some semblance of a -amo, we may be in good shape this winter
  11. Golf757075
    Its too far out to know anything. It should be cooler due to clouds and rain. Always fun to speculate. 2015-16 was +qbo east-central based.
  12. Golf757075
    Hello everyone. Half the year is over. Here's hoping we can get one decent winter storm this winter. Its always fun to track them but its always about timing
  13. Golf757075
    Im cautiously optimistic that we can get one decent winter storm this upcoming winter. Should have an active southern branch and hopefully we have enough cold air. I live in west tennessee and typically we get one event and the occasional 2 events. All about timing
  14. Golf757075
    It would be nice. We didn't do well in west tennessee. We did good with the winter storm, but that was it. No mini events or even flurries. I got sad when the heavy snow shifted north with that event in January lol. What's interesting is in January 2010, we had a big winter storm that went west to east and stayed suppressed with alot less blocking and this past one shifted north.
  15. Golf757075
    April fools lol
  16. Golf757075
    Imo, if we get a +pdo and -amo, we should see colder winters more often. We are due for that soon I believe.
  17. Golf757075
    I give the winter a B- because we did get a significant winter storm end of last month. Ridge was too far east out west. In my area, we got glancing blows of cold air except for end of January where we had a solid week of cold. We typically get 1 winter storm, but occasionally its twice a winter.
  18. Golf757075
    168hrs out, the gfs was showing a monster storm close to the BM, which looks to verify but the euro wasn't at that time. Its just going to get going north and east of DC imo. Location matters most of the time.
  19. Golf757075
    Icon is a conservative model, especially with snow from what I've gathered and since its showing this, watch out!
  20. Golf757075
    You would have thought the gefs would have shifted way east but didn't unless the gefs sucks in general also lol
  21. Golf757075
    If the gefs still looks good, then gfs has some merit, albeit not as strong as depicted.
  22. Golf757075
    I don't see anymore snow/ice if the ao/epo don't trend negative imo
  23. Golf757075
    Im still hopeful we can get a March snow event. We have had our biggest snows ever in March in our area.
  24. Golf757075
    Imo, its a brief pna spike. Always about timing, but this time its a little bit more tricky
  25. Golf757075
    Without the euro on board, probably not happening. Still hopeful we have one last chance in March.
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