Holston_River_Rambler

Some pics from the recent rainforest like conditions: Big South (Muddy) Fork, at Angel Falls rapid: For your trout folks, there were a bunch of big trout just below the rapids popping on some fly I couldn't see Frozen Head:

Got a time lapse of the rotation in the atmosphere:

Def some nice shear on satellite for the tornado warning in my neck of the woods:

I was getting one for the AFDs this AM.

A good old fashioned mini NAMing for Ye Olden Favoured eastern areas:

Obed:

The Big South Fork’s leatherwood Ford gauge is at 40 feet. I’m going to head up toward the Obed to see what the rivers look like up that way, if I can get there.

Nice cloud pic posted by a tavern in downtown Carthage: https://www.facebook.com/ebelstavern/photos/a.450163365365397/1352014735180251/

It's warned now with 1.5" hail: The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Morgan County in east Tennessee... * Until 845 AM EDT. * At 758 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Fairfield Glade, or 11 miles northeast of Crossville, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. * Locations impacted include... Wartburg, Sunbright, High Point, Frozen Head State Park, Deerlodge and Rugby State Park.

Well, I see the NWS Special weather statement now, looks like just a strong storm with Penny - Nickle sized hail. Headed for me though, so we'll see what I get here.

It's not showing up on the MRX scan, but that area is a weird one for radar, since it is about half way between OHX and MRX.

I may just be seeing things, but it almost looks like the storm heading towards Cumberland County has a couplet:

The Euro is in on it, lol: I wonder if this is the reality of the long anticipated storm I posted in banter a couple of weeks ago: yeah it's few days late, but these things often get pushed back. Besides, I'm ready for a couple weeks off of severe wx now.

Yeah, was just about to post the image windspeed posted, no clear velocity couplets on the cells yet, but some of them are starting to hook.

Mesoscale Discussion 0257 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 Areas affected...far northern Mississippi into Middle Tennessee Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 251929Z - 252130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The threat of severe storms including tornadoes will increase by late afternoon into Middle Tennessee and persist through the evening. A watch may be issued by 21Z. DISCUSSION...Surface analysis currently shows a warm front into far southwestern TN extending east/southeast into northern AL. Meanwhile, another warm front extended from the developing surface low from southern IL into central KY. In between these two fronts, gradual warming is taking place, with temperatures now into the low 70s F. MUCAPE currently remains below 1000 J/kg as a result of dewpoints near 60 F. Strengthening 850 mb winds out of the southwest later today should aid moisture advection out of MS into Middle TN, with areas of heating helping to destabilize as well. Shear will become increasingly favorable for tornadic supercells in the 21-03Z time frame, and a few tornadoes are anticipated as the mid 60s F dewpoints arrive later today. With the more unstable air in place, effective SRH may reach 400-500 m2/s2. ..Jewell/Hart.. 03/25/2021