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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Didn't realize weathermodels had this until your question prompted me to look.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Videos of flooding in Knox county from Knox county mayor.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Sadly it looks like what is left of the convection in N AL is heading straight for portions of E TN. At least the end is in sight now on radar with no more for several days.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler

    February 2019 Winter Speculation

    The EPS means still look pretty good at range for for that window too.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    And now this insanity: (Not me in case you are wondering)
  6. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    mudslide? at Laurel Run Park in Hawkins County:
  7. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    A strange little thunderstorm has just developed in the foothills in Blount county. I just can't image how the atmosphere could possible be conducive to that even now that we're in the warm sector:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler

    Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018-19

    Latest HRRR shows them heading straight for Knoxville and it sure looks that way on the radar. Have the hope the atmosphere is much more stable here, but that still leaves us with some heavy rain we don't need.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler

    Tn Valley Severe Weather 2018-19

    I'm still pretty new to looking for tornadic storms, but it looks like it has some sort of a circulation:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    And to be honest, that MCS line in Middle/ West TN looks like it is also moving more W - E now as a little meso circulation looks like it has formed.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Speaking of more rain, those convective showers blobs in Central MS/ AL look like they might be headed close to the Eastern TN Valley.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Obviously still could be some more significant rain from storms, but for anyone who might look at this thread in the future, here is a radar loop of today's rains:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Now that the end is in sight for the heaviest precip, how long does it usually take for local streams to crest and start to recede? No clue how something like that typically works.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    First Creek at Broadway near Kroger as of 1:00PM: First creek in a valley bottom near 6th ave:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    The train's engine is overhead of me now. Could hear it roll in 100% louder than most rainfall so far this AM.
  16. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Yeah, looking at radar, it's starting to look like basically worst case scenario with the train for the hardest hit areas in Knoxville. At least there's an end in sight after the train gets through.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Just incredible line aimed like an arrow at Knoxville.
  18. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    It really is. I feel like I can normally look at a radar and tell how things are going, but this one is so close.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    WBIR weather (N. Knoxville near Broadway and First Creek) just reported around 5 inches since midnight. Showing images of a tree down on a pickup already without any wind yet.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    It has been raining so hard here that whenever I get under a 25 dbz band it catches my attention because it sounds like the rain has stopped.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Yep, that's what I'm worried about for Knoxville. It looks like it's on the razor's edge for now. I could see the line getting just far enough north to spare Knoxville, I could also see it getting stuck until later today over the central valley. The firehose is really aimed at us, now with a little embedded convection:
  22. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    First Creek, upstream from where I'm closest to it, but about half a mile from my house: Pics below from within half a mileof my house. The one next to the old industrial building is Standard Knitting Mill, about 200 yards from my house. I think I have about 5 feet, before it over flows.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    Same here @ShawnEastTN. I'm about to venture out again to look at First Creek. I live about 200 yards from it and it was already overflowing about half a mile up from my house. Actually concerned about what I see as a non 0 chance I will have to evacuate if the training sets up just right.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of Feb 17th

    That's what I would think as well, but no update. Unusual since the folks who handle that account are very quick to provide information.
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