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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.

    I'm going to be near and possibly on High Knob on Saturday, so hoping I can catch a few flakes. Although recent model runs seem to want the precip shield to be further west than VA. It's a cut off, so I guess we'll know when it develops, lol.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    After the front came through yesterday, it brought what I thought was one of the best airmasses in what seems like a year. Pollen down and crystal skies before the lower clouds rolled back in and a nice breeze. One pic is of the clear air afterwards and one of the storms as they were building over Knoxville.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler

    April 13-14 Severe Weather Outbreak

    Is this what you were looking for Jeff, regarding the paper? https://t.co/keKEHDA2Gj
  4. Holston_River_Rambler

    April 13-14 Severe Weather Outbreak

    Thought some might find this thread from one storm yesterday interesting:
  5. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.

    I got a content expired on that link.
  6. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.

    UKMET looks decent at 500 mb and EPS shows some cold.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.

    Wow, not sure what's up with the precip depiction/ accum maps:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.

    Ye olden Euro was interesting this PM. 5 days out. Isn't that the closest anything has come since December? (minus the miracle Sevier/ Blount county/ Dayton leeside micro low storm)
  9. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Nice little T-Storm just rolled through Harriman. Kind of surprising given how overcast it has been today. Looks like they are popping on satellite though!
  10. Holston_River_Rambler

    ENSO 2018-2019

    Still just a model forecast, but interesting discussion of model skill, other SST questions in this thread. Thought there might be some interest here.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.

    3k NAM (only the best) rather excited about LeConte tonight. Tauntauns might be out, lol Some T-storms showing up on some models for this PM too. Wonder if we will see any thunder/ hail/ graupel. MRX: this afternoon...a short wave trough digs in and convective energy increases. Current forecast seems to have a decent handle on this, and still appears there could be some pea size hail/graupel with the heavier showers and possibly even a few rumbles of thunder.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Controlled burn? Must have been some interesting mid/ upper winds for that smoke to take that weird split path. Definitely noticed it over Knox this PM. https://www.timesfreepress.com/news/breakingnews/story/2019/mar/18/fires-might-be-part-prescribed-burns/490784/ Not sure about the one near Cumberland County though:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer Banter Thread 2019

    Please note this is in no way to prompt a climate change debate. Just thought it was interesting to see how geology can impact climate.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer Banter Thread 2019

    Yeah, I've got a clump of grass in my backyard that is definitely gonna need a weedeater before all is said and done.
  15. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer Banter Thread 2019

    God bless the little model that could:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer 2019 medium to long range discussion.

    I'm kind of optimistic we have maybe a week or two of it, then get some warmer weather. And at least with a trough we get more movement (aka more sunny days) than if we are just south of an endless screaming ST jet. Also, GFS has been consistently day 10+ showing rain up into Canada. That's gotta be warmer than being just 200 miles south of the R/S line. Euro isn't quite there yet on its runs, but the control looks mildish: EPS looks like it wants to go warm too after day 10: But as Tellico will say, 24hrs = long range this winter, so who knows. You have to think though, no SSW, April around the corner, we have to have some warmer weather sooner or later. Crankyweatherdude has been pretty good with his analysis of the Pac jet (whether predictive skill or just observation of reality) and he seems to think the flip comes after the mid month blip: I've been waiting for one of these big red/ yellow surges to show up on these maps. Hopefully it makes it back to our hemisphere.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever

    30 day precip update:
  18. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever

    Found this off a blog about Iowa weather: https://www.tswails.com/single-post/2019/03/07/FINAL-FLOOD-OUTLOOK-AN-EYE-OPENER?fbclid=IwAR3p0YRgKuuc3wOuRE7UZj1tN-Pl9C1vIJyDSPgaHAWI_mDBb7KjbbYyWxM Not exactly sure how specifically this could/ would impact our western areas and areas further down the Mississippi, but I can't image it is good news to have a big, quick melt in those midwestern areas where so much snow has fallen and then have more rain in our TN upstream areas.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer Banter Thread 2019

    Thought some of you might be interested in this fun map:
  20. Holston_River_Rambler

    TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever

    Hopefully it doesn't come to fruition, but the GFS/ Euro showing a way that a system between the 14th and 16th could get hung up across the area. Still a ways to go, but this has been shown as a possibility on several model runs now.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring-Summer Observations 2019

    Felt it in Knoxville. First one I've ever felt.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler

    Spring/Summer Banter Thread 2019

    Oli Bea for breakfast. (Chicken Biscuit is my favorite, but daily specials can be amazing) Hiking: House Mountain; Norris Dam State Park; Ijams Nature Center Walking: Knoxville Botanical Gardens Mountain Bike: Norris Dam/ South Knoxville Urban Wilderness/ Loyston Point Breweries/ brewpubs: Last Days of Autumn; Clinch River Brewery; Abridged BBQ: Sweet Pea's Downtown Dive (Pimento cheese Dip) If you've never been into the wigsphere Sunsphere, that's worth a visit. If you really want to get fancy in terms of restaurant Lonesome Dove, but it is $$$$$$$ Oliver Hotel speakeasy is an interesting experience Maybe take a few minutes to check out Market Square in downtown (food options, boutique type shopping) Just some of my favs, but we have a few other posters from Knoxville who may chime in too. I live near downtown, so a lot of this is missing probably some great things to do, as we say here, "down west". (West Knoxville)
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