Jump to content


  • Content count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

About AMZ8990

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Location:

Recent Profile Visitors

1,421 profile views
  1. I hope so, it would be an epic time to track stuff given what’s potentially on the table. I agree with you on the mid week system. 12zFV3 spit out huge totals statewide at 12z. CMC kept it more of a West tn to middle tn storm. I’m anxious to see how the models trend over the next 2 days. It will also be nice to see how the models did forecasting the temps for Saturday nights cool down, I think that will help is get a gauge of which model is leading the way in predicting this upcoming pattern.
  2. GEFS looks outstanding going forward. Lots of cold and some interesting looks in regards to blocking in the next few weeks.
  3. AMZ8990

    Winter 2018-2019 Observations

    Bummer, that stinks when rain washes away the snow. Hopefully this is a sign of bigger things to come though.
  4. AMZ8990

    Winter 2018-2019 Observations

    That’s awesome. Glad you were able to cash in DB.
  5. We are getting closer to having something to track. It’s cool to finally see these potential wintry events being shown under 240 hrs on the models now. It seems like the past month everything has been at 300+ Hours when it shows up. We might be getting close to prime time folks!!
  6. I wouldn’t put to much stock into any individual run at this point. I’d look more at the trends from run to run. Models are in agreement about the cold air coming albeit some variations of the temperature gradient between the different models. They are also in agreement about the active storms/ moisture development over the next week or two. Those are the biggest things I see. I really like the models are showing continuous systems one after another over the next ten days. As we know from last year, it’s tough when you don’t have moisture to lock in with your cold air. So the fact we see multiple storm tracks continuously going into the future over the last few days of models runs is a huge bonus. Then you add In the models being in agreement about cold air coming and I really think we’re sitting in a good spot to have legitimate threats over the coming weeks. It could not pan out at all but given the variables on the table I like our chances across the forum area.
  7. I sure hope so, it seems like things always materialize extremly close to the said event when it comes to West tn wintry events. We always cut it close, lol.
  8. I’ve noticed that too, the euro definitely likes the backside snow for West Tennessee the past 2 or 3 days of modeling. It’s always tough when you waiting on cold air to override your moisture though. Overall I think it’s something to keep an eye on for sure. It would be nice if just once south west tn out performed north west tn in regards to a wintry event.
  9. AMZ8990

    Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019

    I just saw this Jax, good stuff!! Lmao
  10. I commend you on sticking with your forecast buddy, you’ve been saying for months that more than likely this would be a back loaded winter and that we would have to be patient with the cold air. I know we aren’t quite there yet but as it sits now your prediction looks pretty spot on. Your getting pretty good at this hobby as you call it!!
  11. GEFS seems to really like the colder solution versus what the other models have been showing. It’s been steady with that look for quite a while now too. If it’s right then there will be some seriously cold air in our neighborhood to tap into. Nice share from Holston in the above map as well, it’s gonna be an interesting couple of weeks for most of the lower 48 going forward I think in regards to wintry precip.
  12. Wow, that is some serious cold. I’ll be busy covering greens at the course in the coming week if this look continues to show!
  13. AMZ8990

    Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019

    Me and CG had a talk about this a while back, it is pretty interesting. Seems like we’ve had several events where it happened in consecutive years as well. I’ll often wonder how the different storms can be so similar though. It’s looking pretty juicy for late January I must say. I’ll have to go back through the archives and see what type of storms we’ve had in that timeframe im the past few years.
  14. My bad weathertree, I meant to quote carvers post with the snowfall maps on it, instead i accidentally Quoted your message. That’s my bad, sorry for the confusion. E17 is one of the maps in carvers post that looks really juicy for the whole state.