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*Flash*
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About *Flash*
- Birthday December 6
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Good to hear from you, Brick. Thanks for the well wishes!
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Same here, Jeff. Impressive display all-around. Went out for a run that night completely oblivious to the elements (hence, the lack of tripod :/) , but came back feeling like I had seen the best electrical storm around these parts since 2012...
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^ Thanks, Jax. Weekend has anomalous written all over it. Should be a fun ride...though I can't help but wonder where was this a few months ago?
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
*Flash* replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
DT WxRisk posted an interesting NASA soil moisture graphic on his Twitter account. Basically, as hot as this summer has been, it could be a lot worse for most of TN (i.e. 2007, 2012) if not for the above average soil moisture and the evaporative cooling going on at the surface as a result. The UL disturbances flanking weaknesses on our side of the ridge axis + soil moisture content has helped keep temps in reasonable territory as opposed to record territory. The BNA CF6's look bad...but when you get outside the UHI and factor in the uptick in cloud shade, this summer's heat bark as been greater than its bite IMHO. -
Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
*Flash* replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Jeff, is there a recommended resource to gauge whether the GLAAM is positive or negative? We want high values, correct?- 227 replies
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
*Flash* replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ok...the results are finally in... Of all the 38,511 days Nashville has been keeping weather records, April 17, 2018 comes in with the 5th greatest HI/LO temp spread at 50°. While I'm open to PM'ing any of you the master spreadsheet, basically if you wanna crack the top 100, you gotta get to 42° ... and if you wanna crack the top 20, you gotta get to 46°. For local weather weenies, you'll note the great Ice Storm of '94 coming in at #11. For Alabamians, you'll find your Snowmageddon/Snowpocalypse 2014 Winter Storm coming in at #20.- 227 replies
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Today's stat of the day: Assuming hell doesn't freeze over, May @ BNA will go down, not only as the warmest May in recorded history (75.5°), but also the 16th time a given month's mean temp exceed the prior month's by +/- 20.0°+. Basically, a 1% chance occurrence (16/1661).
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
*Flash* replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I posted on the observation thread. Very on and off with rain bands Monday PM - this morning at my location. Also, some of the fastest moving clouds I've seen in a while...enough to get my two-year old wondering where they were going in such a hurry. Other than that (and the split Bradford), nothing terribly notable apart from the super rare radar display. I honestly can't remember the last time our state saw a tropical system prior to hurricane season. I'll have the check the record books on that.- 227 replies
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Sorry, the picture quality sucks...but this goes to show you...even a subtropical system several hundred miles inland is capable of tropical storm level wind gusts. Only ~0.5" of rain at my house, but just 10 miles west down 70...a couple inches was commonplace. Photo location: Wagoner’s Way subdivision (White Bluff)
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
*Flash* replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Today's [random] stat(s) of the day: If May ended today @ BNA, both the mean temp and April/May temperature spread would go down as the second greatest in recorded history. Interestingly, our board leader, 1962, was the first and last time a June finished cooler than May (-0.2°). Concerning summer signaling, of the top 5 April/May temp spreads, none of them were followed by a summer (June-August) month averaging in the 80's. In fact, of the top 10 warmest May's, only one (1944) saw a top 10 warmest June. Bottom line: a balmy May isn't a guarantee to a toasty summer.- 227 replies
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
*Flash* replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Per OHX: My reaction... https://media.giphy.com/media/12GmHqZ3jcUE24/source.gif- 227 replies
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Can't remember the last time I woke up to a bulging cumulonimbus cloud. Definitely a sign of the times... *View looking west*
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
*Flash* replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Technically...it's been 4,630 days since Alaska has seen a tornado. Granted, there's been only four recorded cases...but it does happen once every dozen blue moons or so. *Insert beer joke here* The Preds game/chaser jones combo has me cheeky this AM. Side note: April 2018 officially cracks the top 10 coolest Aprils on record for BNA. Normally, BN months make me happy, but I'm not sure how I feel about this one.- 227 replies
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Got a couple juicy stats of the day for BNA: 1) For the FMA 3 month period, outside of this year, the only other time each month averaged in the 50's was 1976. 2) Based on 4/27-4/30 temp projections, the FMA 3 month period will also set a new record (by a wide margin) for lowest mean temp spread between February and April. If you're a snow/severe weather enthusiast, obviously you want to see the exact opposite happen. On the bright side (pun intended), at least we got a rare rainless week ahead.
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Update: Greatest this century...
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