BNAwx
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About BNAwx
- Birthday 08/26/1972
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If anything, you’d think we could squeeze out a decent clipper in this pattern. Seems like back in the day you could count on a clipper to put down a quick, powdery inch or two with this kind of flow. They’re usually not picked up well long range so maybe we’ll get lucky.
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Picked up about 1.5 here just east of Nashville. Still snowing pretty good for now. Nice little surprise!
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2016-2017 Great Tennessee Valley Winter Discussion
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Certainly would like to see some ensemble support outside of 1 or 2 members. -
Yeah, the northern part of the Plateau is a good place to be with these clipper systems. Wouldn't mind having a little getaway up there.
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2016-2017 Great Tennessee Valley Winter Discussion
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, even in Nashville, clippers can still put you in WWA territory. I remember living in Cookeville and in the mid 90's we had one "super clipper" that put down about 5 inches! Regarding the long range, I'm anxious to see if the strat warming will lead to any cold on our side of the globe. To me SSW's are always a crap shoot. -
Got some good returns to my north and west. Bowling Green should be getting a good burst right about now.
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I've had a few light flurries here east of Nashville but most of the precip up to this point hasn't reached the ground. Hopefully we'll be fully saturated when the next band rolls through.
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I might need to take a road trip to the in-laws in Greeneville, TN.....
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Need the first wave to overachieve here in Middle TN. Dusting to 1" would at least get me on the board. I think weekend system will still come back north a little more but it doesn't really look to get going until it's east of here.
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Yeah, it does bother me that the EPS keeps getting stingier for our area so a more southern solution could be right. As you said, blocking looks pretty good so a full blown cutter looks off the table. I would hope by 12z tomorrow we'll have a good idea of what to expect.
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I've learned over the years that I'd rather be on the northern edge this far out regardless of climo. We still may end up on the "losing" end but I'd bet dollars to donuts that we've yet to see a final solution.
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I agree. Sadly, we're probably a couple days away from getting any real consensus at this point. As the ensembles have shown, all options are still on the table.
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2016-2017 Great Tennessee Valley Winter Discussion
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We've seen this movie before. Lots of time before any solution is set in stone. Fun to watch unfold regardless. -
2016-2017 Great Tennessee Valley Winter Discussion
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Euro went full on weenie with the blocking...but I agree that they shouldn't have messed with it. I don't want to have to rely on the CMC to deliver the goods.. -
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2016-2017 Great Tennessee Valley Winter Discussion
BNAwx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
With the cold relatively close by and somewhat of a split flow, you have to think they'll be some s/w's plowing through that the models can't lock in on until we get closer in time. Whether it does us any good remains to be seen. Personally, I don't mind a "little" SE ridging either as long as it isn't on roids...
