Golf757075
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Everything posted by Golf757075
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Carver, now we hope it sticks and not a headfake lol. Im ready for some real winter weather action
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I think it's the mjo in the null phase with no true coherent signal imo. Its an interesting pattern with an east based niña and pdo weakening. Getting close to waiving the white flag on winter already unfortunately. Not sure what's going on other than speculation
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Carver, ultimately we will see if the aifs ensembles are really that good compared to everything else. I still believe too many models to content with lol
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Also, this Niña is now east based with the colder anomalies off of south america/Peru region. Typically when that occurs, we will see colder later than earlier in winter. 21-22 is a small example. Doesn't guarantee that, but have seen it before
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This is the true current pdo if anyone is interested.
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Happy new year! If the cold pattern or colder pattern keeps getting delayed, it may not happen mid January. Always a concern. Typically when we have a legit pattern coming, it actually moves up in time. We shall see
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Ok. Hopefully we can score mid-end of January because that may be our only opportunity all winter, especially if ninas are typically warm in February
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What do you mean by the last sentence jax?
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Do you think the blocking advertised won't verify? Just curious. Always tough in the south for various reasons
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We shall see
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We shall see!
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We got way too many models to keep up with now imo
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I try to follow john homenuk. I mentioned him yesterday. He seems interested so far in how things may evolve
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It will always be tough. That is why, at least my area only sees 3-4 4-5 inches a winter, which is very fortunate to get these days if we see that
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Carver, typically I get excited when John homenuk posts because he knows his stuff and i haven't seen him post in a while. His screen name was earthlight back at eastern weather forum and americanwx. Im just ready for some action lol.
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I don't want a major ice storm either. We typically get the waa and that leads to sleet or fzr
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I agree. I wished they ran only twice a week liked they used to lol.
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I heard the euro weeklies looked pretty good
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I think we actually get more icestorms from niñas because we get a -epo and the se ridge comes into play, stalling the fronts. I would take an icestorm over nothing lol
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I hope we will get at least a 2 week window of opportunities for snow and ice. We definitely live in a interesting part of the USA when it comes to winter weather. I would take an -epo and take my chances lol
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The issue is we don't get alot of clippers, especially where I am. Its been a long time since we have seen a clipper here.
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Jax, in all seriousness, do you like where we are going and do you think the pattern will be more favorable by mid January?
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If the trough ends up further west, then the pattern is changing imo compared to where we were. Just want some action lol
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This is from a guy who posts at another forum fwiw
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Merry Christmas!! I really hope so Jax. Once we get into January, clock is ticking for sho!
