Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[weathermedic]

Just now, Blizzardo said:

It's really difficult to get the sustained winds for the 3 hours but we will find out! Haha

Maybe at JFK or LAG

 

[SnoSki14]

Just now, Rmine1 said:

Starting to get concerned about the storm being too “tucked” for the immediate coast. We all know that may make at least a portion of the storm wet, not white

Um no lol 

[weatherpruf]

Just now, Rmine1 said:

Starting to get concerned about the storm being too “tucked” for the immediate coast. We all know that may make at least a portion of the storm wet, not white

supposed to be rain during the day on sunday

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, Rmine1 said:

Starting to get concerned about the storm being too “tucked” for the immediate coast. We all know that may make at least a portion of the storm wet, not white

Water temps are low this time of the year

[Blizzardo]

Just now, weathermedic said:

Maybe at JFK or LAG

 

Yea, out there would be the best shot at it. 

[NsWx516]

This definitely has Boxing Day vibes to it. Everyone was ready to throw in the towel and the GFS was on its own island.  This is pretty much the inverse 2015 storm. Side note, I went and filled up my tank just before and the gas station was empty, I might head to the store to get the milks and breads. I dont think mass panic has set in yet lol

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, Rmine1 said:

Starting to get concerned about the storm being too “tucked” for the immediate coast. We all know that may make at least a portion of the storm wet, not white

terrible post, this could go another 100 miles west and NyC will still be snow. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:

supposed to be rain during the day on sunday

no rain at all maybe south jersey to begin, it'll snow from the start and wet bulb

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, weatherpruf said:

supposed to be rain during the day on sunday

then as soon as the sun goes down the fun begins - and this could be more difficult to remove then the last storm because it will mainly fall overnight

[deathstar9]

24 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I was half joking when I said the GFS was due to score one of these hits, looks like it finally did but to a degree it was right for the wrong reason.  This is a rare period historically to see big snow events here and you can see that on the daily snow records on 2/22 and 2/23, mostly all 6 inches or lower.

It’s strange Feb 20-28/29 is weak for big storms even compared to March 1-20.  Only one I can think of was the 2010 storm.

[Lawnguyland]

[TriPol]

7 minutes ago, Blizzardo said:

And yea Channel 4 was talking the big B word for you folks out on Eastern LI. 

I think they need to talk about it for the entire NYC Metro area.

[Metasequoia]

Just now, Rmine1 said:

Starting to get concerned about the storm being too “tucked” for the immediate coast. We all know that may make at least a portion of the storm wet, not white

For much of this forum, there's room for more tuck without mixing issues... and we are within 48 hours of go time. 

[Blizzardo]

1 minute ago, TriPol said:

I think they need to talk about it for the entire NYC Metro area.

They will tomorrow night if need be...

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, Metasequoia said:

For much of this forum, there's room for more tuck without mixing issues... and we are within 48 hours of go time. 

but several forecasters are mentioning rain to start - very confusing situation and differences of opinion

[NorthShoreWx]

4 minutes ago, Blizzardo said:

It's really difficult to get the sustained winds for the 3 hours but we will find out! Haha

Only need gusts to at least 35 for 3 consecutive hours.  There's a visibility parameter as well.  That's why there can be blizzard conditions without a cloud in the sky.

[ForestHillWx]

Jan 2016 dropped 33” at my house in Chester; I’m all in on this one. Let’s friggen get it! 

Edit: You never want to touch the money, but the trends on this, for all models over the past 24, I’m sold. 

[Metasequoia]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

but several forecasters are mentioning rain to start - very confusing situation and differences of opinion

I don't think the rain at the front end is about a close approach. It's about a marginally cold airmas coupled with light precip.

[jdj5211]

Highest recorded snowfall by me in Montville, NJ (Morris County, NJ) was about 27 inches in the March 2018 storm. Would love to experience that again.

And a fun fact…there has never been 30 inches of snow ever officially recorded in NJ. 29.7 is the record in 1947.

Do you think we will ever see 30+ inches, especially with today’s seemingly deeper strengthening storms?


.

[MANDA]

2 minutes ago, jdj5211 said:

Highest recorded snowfall by me in Montville, NJ (Morris County, NJ) was about 27 inches in the March 2018 storm. Would love to experience that again.

And a fun fact…there has never been 30 inches of snow ever officially recorded in NJ. 29.7 is the record in 1947.

Do you think we will ever see 30+ inches, especially with today’s seemingly deeper strengthening storms?


.

There has been officially 30"+ in NJ.  Boxing Day storm was one and so was January 1996.  I think probably the most recent was January 2016.  Had 31" in southeast Morris County.

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, Metasequoia said:

I don't think the rain at the front end is about a close approach. It's about a marginally cold airmas coupled with light precip.

Correct. Whatever hundredths of QPF we lose to a mix won't matter once the storm gets going. 

[Mr. T.]

4 minutes ago, jdj5211 said:

Highest recorded snowfall by me in Montville, NJ (Morris County, NJ) was about 27 inches in the March 2018 storm. Would love to experience that again.

And a fun fact…there has never been 30 inches of snow ever officially recorded in NJ. 29.7 is the record in 1947.

Do you think we will ever see 30+ inches, especially with today’s seemingly deeper strengthening storms?


.

Mount Holly Snow Totals for Brick NJ during Boxing Day Blizzard

[David-LI]

5 minutes ago, Metasequoia said:

I don't think the rain at the front end is about a close approach. It's about a marginally cold airmas coupled with light precip.

blizzard of 2006 had hours of rain at the start

[Blizzardo]

7 minutes ago, jdj5211 said:

Highest recorded snowfall by me in Montville, NJ (Morris County, NJ) was about 27 inches in the March 2018 storm. Would love to experience that again.

And a fun fact…there has never been 30 inches of snow ever officially recorded in NJ. 29.7 is the record in 1947.

Do you think we will ever see 30+ inches, especially with today’s seemingly deeper strengthening storms?


.

I believe there was numerous 30+ recordings in the Blizzard of 96'. I had over 30 in Bloomfield. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

9 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

but several forecasters are mentioning rain to start - very confusing situation and differences of opinion

there could be some white rain south and east of let's say Bergen county for a two hour period but it won't be the heavy precip so it won't really matter that much. Honestly i think we snow the whole time

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, David-LI said:

blizzard of 2006 had hours of rain at the start

that was a different setup, it was heavy rain to heavy snow. completely different setup. we're not raining guys come on here

[NsWx516]

1 minute ago, David-LI said:

blizzard of 2006 had hours of rain at the start

So did the Blizzard of 1888

[jm1220]

The storm isn’t hugging the coast and turning people to rain guys lol. 

[boxingdayblizzard]

32 minutes ago, [email protected] said:

This is 2010 Boxing Day redux!

hence the username I have, one of the best storms I've experienced in my life time! Let's see how this one pans out

[BoulderWX]

10 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Jan 2016 dropped 33” at my house in Chester; I’m all in on this one. Let’s friggen get it! 

Edit: You never want to touch the money, but the trends on this, for all models over the past 24, I’m sold. 

You think neighbor? I’m thinking 5-8” at the moment for MMU; significantly increasing as you head east. Think someone on the island sees 20+