NEG NAO

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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    Weather Analysis and Forecasting

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  1. NAUSEATING TEASE - GFS SHOULD BE PUT ON THE SHELF - BUT IT IS STILL NWS MODEL OF CHOICE...……….
  2. Lets worry about getting the heavier precip in here first - that's the key- need more of a dynamic system to help draw the colder air in to the lower levels - 850's are not the issue
  3. All 3 GFS - CMC - Euro are completely different but to be fair all 3 have not performed well this winter especially past 5 days - and at times less then 5 days out....
  4. we do ? bold statements require some evidence to back it up with...……... Even the long range NAM is on board BUT won't be entering its more accurate range for another 24 hours
  5. about half of the members have a significant hit - so 50 - 50 chance right now on the Euro still being 4+ days out - jury is still out...…….
  6. with a large precip field as both lows merge
  7. luckily they miss just east and we don't want to be in the bulls eye at this range...…..plus some still have us getting some precip
  8. anybody have the list of top analogs for this coming event ? The Dec 24 -26th 2002 event - the second half of it comes to mind when 2 separate systems bombed off the coast changing rain to snow http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/25-Dec-02.html
  9. don't need a frigid airmass look at soundings ignore the various precip colors on OP maps