NEG NAO

Euro July 4th looking HOT but how hot and where in the region ? Other problem may be we are located in the "Ring of Fire" with storms on the edge of the heat dome

Latest EURO JULY 3rd -HEAT INDEX

Questions still remain about how far north the heatwave will reach next week with much cooler air just to our north and east

Only thing we know about July 4th 9 days out is that it will be very warm to hot around here. Impossible to know how hot or anything about rain and storms at this point.

the reason for this stream of moisture is a stationary front sitting from northeast of Scranton down through northern Maryland and precip now is staying mainly west of the NJ Turnpike and is encountering drier air as it is moving northeast and becoming lighter in northern NJ - so it is doubtful that heavier precip in Mayland makes it this far north

more liquid steaming towards the area from PA - but how much of it will survive the trip ? Seems the conveyor belt of moisture is drying up somewhat as it moves into central NJ....

just as predicted the sun is shining through here in Northern Middlesex County NJ setting the stage for the next round of Heavy Rain/Storms racing this way from PA This group of storms features a Tornado TOR from KPHI

where is that storm and where is that tall white building ?

and if you look at the satellite looks like more hazy sunshine moving in behind which will destabalize the atmosphere and create more storms

That storm has no severe warning is moving very fast

This storm in Ocean/Monmouth has possible Tornado SVR from KPHI

you are right on the southern edge of the severe SVR from KOKX

Severe warnings Monmouth, Ocean, Mercer, Burlington Counties SVR from KPHI

most of it is dormant - the thing that gets me is these lawn cutting services still come around regardless using their high powered ride around mowers with a cloud of dust folllowing them and destroying your lawn in the process - I just use a weed wacker carefully for any weeds and higher grass. Also you are not supposed to fertilize your lawn when it is dormant