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About LovintheWhiteFluff

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Toms River, NJ
  1. The trough. It's progressive. Check out 120hr and on. You can see it allowing Maria to go NE. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2017092300&fh=-6&xpos=0&ypos=0
  2. That's Maria, not Jose. Read my post again.
  3. Jose seems to already be moving east according to the water vapor loop. The 18z GFS didn't have it pushing east until 12hr. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html
  4. Whatever you are using is really slow right now. Tropical Tidbits is up to 276. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens&region=us&pkg=mslp_uv850&runtime=2017092218&fh=126&xpos=0&ypos=0
  5. TWC said 4 to 6 months to get electricity up for the entire island which doesn't have power now. Just that alone is destructive to everyday life for millions of people.
  6. meant 12z. fixed it. 0z is now. lol
  7. Yes, landfall should be around 12z.
  8. I think they will make it. Based on radar, we're 1.5 hrs from western eyewall crossing over eastern Dominica. Is recon going to get there before landfall? Yeah, it's about 485 miles to the Eastern side of Dominica from Curacao.
  9. GFS has Jose weakening to the point that the ridging can build back up. The Euro has it much stronger and gives Maria an exit lane. Just going to have to see what happens to Jose in the next 24 to 48 hours.
  10. The closer to the coast track and some sheer weaken Jose a lot more. Seems like the closer Jose can get to the coast, the greater Maria's chance.
  11. Florida and Georgia
  12. That was because of the track. It wound up going over Cuba. It was about to take off right before interacting with Cuba. Not saying it reaches 880s, but it had a shot at below 900 give the environment.
  13. 40N latitude and 70W longitude. It's usually talked about with snowstorms. Too far west of the benchmark and it's typically rain and sleet. Too far east and it misses you.
  14. I don't have the 6 hour panels, but it looks like the CoC goes over Tampa Bay. Is that right?