Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph at landfall

[TheDreamTraveler]

1 minute ago, Hotair said:

Black River hospital Jamaica 

 

From what I've seen on Twitter this is apparently AI.

[Interstate]

33 minutes ago, klw said:

Looks like storms are firing on the east side of the core again.

https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/PSUGOES_MESO1/loop90.html

 

Yep... starting to look good again and wrapping back up.

[Hotair]

22 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

From what I've seen on Twitter this is apparently AI.

The video is here 

https://antigua.news/2025/10/28/jamaica-black-river-hospital-suffers-devastating-damage-from-hurricane-melissa/

[TheDreamTraveler]

1 minute ago, Hotair said:

The video is here 

https://antigua.news/2025/10/28/jamaica-black-river-hospital-suffers-devastating-damage-from-hurricane-melissa/

I looked on twitter a bit apparently Jim Cantore is saying that's from hurricane Dorian so it's not even Melissa lol

https://x.com/JimCantore/status/1983269063339192440

[Hotair]

2 minutes ago, TheDreamTraveler said:

I looked on twitter a bit apparently Jim Cantore is saying that's from hurricane Dorian so it's not even Melissa lol

https://x.com/JimCantore/status/1983269063339192440

I’ll take the image down. But appears they lost their roof again this time around based on the Antigua reporting I linked 

[TJW014]

Towers firing back up on the east. If we get an eye again, it looks like it'll be a much larger one

[WxWatcher007]

Recon is in there (only one flight from what I see) and it looks like the center weakened substantially based on initial data. 
 

952.8mb extrapolated.

[Wannabehippie]

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Recon is in there (only one flight from what I see) and it looks like the center weakened substantially based on initial data. 

It got ripped apart. Looks like it really took a hit.

[Wannabehippie]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Recon is in there (only one flight from what I see) and it looks like the center weakened substantially based on initial data. 

5pm EDT advisory has it as a very dangerous cat 4 storm.

 

5:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 28
Location: 18.5°N 77.7°W
Moving: NNE at 8 mph
Min pressure: 921 mb
Max sustained: 145 mph
 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Wannabehippie said:

5pm EDT advisory has it as a very dangerous cat 4 storm.

 

5:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 28
Location: 18.5°N 77.7°W
Moving: NNE at 8 mph
Min pressure: 921 mb
Max sustained: 145 mph
 

Highly doubt winds are close to that.

[NorthHillsWx]

It’s blowing back up nicely 

[Wannabehippie]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Highly doubt winds are close to that.

We probably will find out soon, with the airplanes in there now. 
What do you think the winds are at?

[Diggiebot]

Just now, Wannabehippie said:

We probably will find out soon, with the airplanes in there now. 
What do you think the winds are at?

120-125 but I think it ramps back up to 140-150 pretty quick 

[lee59]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Highly doubt winds are close to that.

Yea would seem unlikely at ground level

[WxWatcher007]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It got ripped apart. Looks like it really took a hit.

The collapse of FL winds and the central pressure rising 60mb says it all. At least for now. 

10 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said:

5pm EDT advisory has it as a very dangerous cat 4 storm.

 

5:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 28
Location: 18.5°N 77.7°W
Moving: NNE at 8 mph
Min pressure: 921 mb
Max sustained: 145 mph
 

The 5pm discussion mentions that the intensity estimate was “highly uncertain”. I doubt the winds are that high looking at that first round of data but recon is finding it just as it exits Jamaica. 

6 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

It’s blowing back up nicely 

IR is already improving so we’ll see what it can do the next ~8 hours. The core looks intact enough for a reorganization & intensification phase. 

[SchaumburgStormer]

Towers starting to pop and wrap around the center. Wouldn’t be shocked to see an eye pop again even with the major disruption. 

[olafminesaw]

Probably only borderline a major hurricane at this point, but a much wider area of hurricane force winds

[WxWatcher007]

I have a non-chaser friend in Montego Bay. Right near the water. They are safe, but the first floor of their place was wrecked by the wind. 

[NorthHillsWx]

Warming near center. Eye about to reappear 

[Kevin Reilly]

Well, it definitely should have weakened it crossed right over the mountains and has now reemerged on the other side. I have been to that part of Jamaica I would liken the mountains there like the Appalachians in central Pennsylvania. I am stating the obvious, I am sure.  This is a tragic event for the Southwestern and western parts of Jamica especially.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Warming near center. Eye about to reappear 

The satellite improvement happened FAST

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

The satellite improvement happened FAST

Ya she's looking better and better again

[CoastalWx]

Yeah definitely better looking now.

[WxWatcher007]

 

[NorthHillsWx]

I mean it spent over 5 hours on mountainous land I’m not sure why anyone would expect it to weaken less than it did. That being said the structure overall remained intact. Shear is starting to increase, evident by restricted outflow to SW, but it’s moving NE over a bathtub. This is going to restrengthen significantly. The only thing that weakened it in the first place was land. 

[Wannabehippie]

952 on first pass, so pretty close to what NHC said at 5pm EDT advisory.

 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-2513A-MELISSA.png

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-2513A-MELISSA.png

 

[Krs4Lfe]

I must say, despite the unfortunate outcome for Jamaica, Cuba, Bahamas, and all others in Melissa's path, it has been a pleasure to advance my knowledge of cyclones with you all over the past week tracking this hurricane. What a wild ride it's been!

[Wannabehippie]

25 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Warming near center. Eye about to reappear 

 

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah definitely better looking now.

Looks like the eye will be large than before if this picture is any indication.

[Torch Tiger]

looking wilma-y :")