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Everything posted by Wannabehippie
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Here in Astoria the streets are clear, the sidewalks are mostly just wet, few spots of snow where it piled up more because it fell off of trees. Good snowball making snow. Packs real well. I am guessing 10 or 11:1 ratios. Temps hovered around 30 degrees all night, so we didn't get that real light fluffy snow you might get with temps in the 20's. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Wannabehippie replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
The link to the full study that Don posted above is very interesting, once you get past some of the high level math that they discuss in it. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Wannabehippie replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I think this is the best place to post this article, and hear what everyone thinks about it. https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/09/climate/atlantic-circulation-collapse-weather-climate/index.html -
Been snowing lightly in Astoria since this AM. Not much is getting on the sidewalks and roads due to the rate of snowfall, plus all the salt that has been spread around. Grassy areas, and areas that had snow piled from the storm earlier this week are seeing accumulation, but not very much. The sun is even weakly showing thru the clouds at times.
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I am going with the trend is your friend. The trend has been no snow for NYC and points east. I say no snow for the Tuesday event, other than maybe a coating, for NYC.
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I need Tuesday event to be delayed, or be a minor event so I can get back in to LGA from Florida.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That is my thought as well. Get to 2 full years of no snow, then we can get some snow.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Temps above freezing throughout the storm on latest NAM12k 0z run, starting at 15z Saturday. It won't let me post the image, as it is "too big".- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Maybe aloft as snow, but the soundings at the mid, low level are too warm IMHO.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Might be too late by then to get any real accumulation, unless it can come down real hard and fast in 2-3 hours.- 3,610 replies
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I buy the Old Farmer's Almanac yearly. Mainly for the articles on gardening, etc. Some really interesting stuff in there. I treat the weather prediction part as entertainment. Fun to see how wrong they are, then follow up the following year when they claim an "80% accuracy".
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At 53 I am no kid.
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I went out without a jacket. You must be affected by the colder, winter temps than me. Temps in 50s don't seem too bad to me. But then again, if temps get in to mid 60s I probably will be wearing shorts.
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Yeah that pretty much answers my question. Oys
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More coastal flooding, plus flash flooding out of this system? The ground right now is absolutely saturated.
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10 gallons. If that is it, you got off light.
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Yes you are correct. 16.85 inches in September 1882. If we got 8" in CP today, we would come close to the record.
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That certainly would break the September record for rainfall. Current record is 11.85" of rain for the month.
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4 feet on the BQE? Yikes. The rain fall rates right now must be incredible. I don't think we will break the all time record for rain for the month of September with this system, plus the 8"+ we had before it. But we probably will hit the 2nd most for the month.
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That is some pretty hefty rain fall, just thru noon. And it is supposed to go another 18 hours after that, with varying intensity obviously, right?
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Central park has seen 8"+ so far in September. Monthly record is something like 16.85" in I believe 1882. Do we have a shot at breaking that record with all the precip that is headed our way tonight, tomorrow, and in to Saturday AM?
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Is the prevailing thought that Ophelia will be downgraded on the next advisory? Ophelia has been a huge rainmaker up and down the coast. But it doesn't look like the wind was a major factor for the most part.