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Everything posted by Wannabehippie
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I am going with the trend is your friend. The trend has been no snow for NYC and points east. I say no snow for the Tuesday event, other than maybe a coating, for NYC.
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I need Tuesday event to be delayed, or be a minor event so I can get back in to LGA from Florida.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That is my thought as well. Get to 2 full years of no snow, then we can get some snow.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Temps above freezing throughout the storm on latest NAM12k 0z run, starting at 15z Saturday. It won't let me post the image, as it is "too big".- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Maybe aloft as snow, but the soundings at the mid, low level are too warm IMHO.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
Wannabehippie replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Might be too late by then to get any real accumulation, unless it can come down real hard and fast in 2-3 hours.- 3,610 replies
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I buy the Old Farmer's Almanac yearly. Mainly for the articles on gardening, etc. Some really interesting stuff in there. I treat the weather prediction part as entertainment. Fun to see how wrong they are, then follow up the following year when they claim an "80% accuracy".
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At 53 I am no kid.
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I went out without a jacket. You must be affected by the colder, winter temps than me. Temps in 50s don't seem too bad to me. But then again, if temps get in to mid 60s I probably will be wearing shorts.
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Yeah that pretty much answers my question. Oys
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More coastal flooding, plus flash flooding out of this system? The ground right now is absolutely saturated.
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10 gallons. If that is it, you got off light.
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Yes you are correct. 16.85 inches in September 1882. If we got 8" in CP today, we would come close to the record.
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That certainly would break the September record for rainfall. Current record is 11.85" of rain for the month.
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4 feet on the BQE? Yikes. The rain fall rates right now must be incredible. I don't think we will break the all time record for rain for the month of September with this system, plus the 8"+ we had before it. But we probably will hit the 2nd most for the month.
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That is some pretty hefty rain fall, just thru noon. And it is supposed to go another 18 hours after that, with varying intensity obviously, right?
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Central park has seen 8"+ so far in September. Monthly record is something like 16.85" in I believe 1882. Do we have a shot at breaking that record with all the precip that is headed our way tonight, tomorrow, and in to Saturday AM?
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Is the prevailing thought that Ophelia will be downgraded on the next advisory? Ophelia has been a huge rainmaker up and down the coast. But it doesn't look like the wind was a major factor for the most part.
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Winds still at 70mph 11:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 22Location: 33.6°N 76.8°WMoving: NNW at 12 mphMin pressure: 984 mbMax sustained: 70 mph
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No change on the 8pm advisory. 8:00 PM EDT Fri Sep 22Location: 33.3°N 76.6°WMoving: NNW at 12 mphMin pressure: 984 mbMax sustained: 70 mph
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Ophelia is right over the gulf stream right now. Water will not get any warmer than that for this time of year for where it is at.
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Is Lee already losing its tropical characteristics? I didn't think this would happen until it got further north.
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Water vapor loop. Looks like Lee has some dry air entrained, and the eye has opened up. Lee no longer a major hurricane, it is a CAT 2 with 105mph top measured winds. Pressure still around that 950-952mb mark, but it is spreading out getting larger, causing less of a pressure gradient, and winds dropping a bit. Still very dangerous.