Wannabehippie
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Everything posted by Wannabehippie
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Looks like 2nd pass numbers are delayed. But those wind barbs speak volumes as to the current strength of Lee
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Bermuda is such a tiny dot in the Atlantic, it is awful hard for it to get a direct hit. They have had brushes with powerful storms before, and are well prepared for these situations.
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ERC plus shear is taking its toll. I am confident that once the shear lessens, the weakening trend will end.
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Two new recon flights headed to Lee. one NOAA, one AF. It will be interesting to see what they find.
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I believe Tuesday or Wednesday it should start to move north, instead of WNW. But one of the pro forecasters can chime in on this one to confirm. Right now it will stay well off the east coast until at least Maine, or possibly Nova Scotia, at this point.
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5:00 PM AST Fri Sep 8Location: 18.9°N 55.5°WMoving: WNW at 13 mphMin pressure: 942 mbMax sustained: 150 mph
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Latest satellite photos appear to show the eye completely obscured, and that shear hitting Lee hard at the moment. Is the consensus that Lee will see a bit more weakening on the next NHC report?
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Is there a forecast on when the shear is likely to decrease on Lee?
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Downgraded to a TS on latest update.
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Hurricane Josh successfully penetrated the eye of Idalia.
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11:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 29Location: 27.7°N 84.5°WMoving: N at 18 mphMin pressure: 958 mbMax sustained: 110 mph
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Look for icyclone aka HurricaneJosh aka Josh Morgerman on Twitter. He is trying to figure out where it will make landfall so he can penetrate the eye.
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That tracks given the 10pm advisory.
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10:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 29Location: 27.4°N 84.6°WMoving: N at 18 mphMin pressure: 960 mbMax sustained: 110 mph updated advisory
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Is that another 4mb drop in like 2 hours? WOW.
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There is both an AF flight, and a NOAA flight in Idalia right now.
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I was told once that sometimes it take a little bit of time for the winds to catch up with a rapidly deepening storm. Not a real long time, but a couple of hours at most.
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8:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 29Location: 26.9°N 84.7°WMoving: N at 16 mphMin pressure: 965 mbMax sustained: 105 mph
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We will find out soon. 965mb pressure on latest NOAA flight as of a few minutes ago.
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Hurricane Josh starting to position himself so he can chase the core of Idalia. I will be interested to see if he can get yet another eye penetration notch on his belt.
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On the last couple of visible satellite photos, it looks like Idalia is trying to clear out the eye.
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New advisory should be out soon, will be interesting to see if they increased the wind speed on it to make it a hurricane.
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Still a TS on latest advisory. 7pm CDT.
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Getting a decent shower here in Astoria as of 820-830. It missed the Bronx, so the Yankee game continues.
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Frank Field, weather, and science legend in NYC, died yesterday at the age of 100.
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