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Wannabehippie

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Everything posted by Wannabehippie

  1. Wannabehippie
    On the latest satellite photos it looks like Erin now has a clear eye. Will have to wait for the aircraft recon to confirm.
  2. Wannabehippie
    In addition to the current NOAA flight in Erin, there is a AF low level flight headed in right now. It looks like the NOAA flight is on the third pass to the center of Erin. NHC has it at 982 with 85 mph winds. 8:00 PM AST Fri Aug 15 Location: 19.4°N 58.5°W Moving: WNW at 17 mph Min pressure: 982 mb Max sustained: 85 mph
  3. Wannabehippie
    986mb on first pass of latest recon
  4. Wannabehippie
    "It's dead Jim" Latest one has it as 0/0.
  5. Wannabehippie
    5:00 PM AST Fri Aug 15 Location: 18.9°N 57.6°W Moving: WNW at 17 mph Min pressure: 993 mb Max sustained: 75 mph
  6. Wannabehippie
    Could go pretty high if it gets to sustained cat 4.
  7. Wannabehippie
    How many others missed?
  8. Wannabehippie
    It is so difficult to get a direct hit on Bermuda. Tiny dot in a big ocean. But everything there is so low lying, even a near miss will cause problems.
  9. Wannabehippie
    I can't tell if Erin is trying to pop an eye, or if it is the dry air being entrained in.
  10. Wannabehippie
    Latest advisory on Erin, no change in intensity. 2:00 PM AST Fri Aug 15 Location: 18.6°N 56.8°W Moving: WNW at 17 mph Min pressure: 993 mb Max sustained: 75 mph
  11. Wannabehippie
    Erin trying to clear out the last of the dry air preventing it from some rapid intensification. http://blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/aab02ef8-e81f-4556-8126-6b2fcb614b60
  12. Wannabehippie
    98L still looks like it is having trouble closing off that center of circulation. Even if it doesn't, there is going to be some pretty heavy rains coming onshore.
  13. Wannabehippie
    I was just about to post the same thing. LOL. TS watches are up for the northernmost Leeward Islands. Looks like there is still some dry air being entrained in, which is probably why Erin is not intensifying faster.
  14. Wannabehippie
    11:00 PM AST Thu Aug 14 Location: 17.1°N 52.7°W Moving: WNW at 17 mph Min pressure: 998 mb Max sustained: 70 mph
  15. Wannabehippie
    Second pass found 1001 according to the aircraft recon from Tropical Tidbits. I think they are missing the exact center. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA3-0105A-ERIN.png
  16. Wannabehippie
    First pass of flight found a pressure of 1002mb. either they missed the center, or it has a bit of weakening since the 5pm AST advisory.
  17. Wannabehippie
    5:00 PM AST Thu Aug 14 Location: 16.7°N 51.2°W Moving: W at 17 mph Min pressure: 998 mb Max sustained: 60 mph
  18. Wannabehippie
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA3-0105A-ERIN.png
  19. Wannabehippie
    I wonder when the Yankees and the Mets will get their games in at their respective stadiums.
  20. Wannabehippie
    Of course he would NEVER manipulate data to make it look like he is the best right?
  21. Wannabehippie
    source for that chart?
  22. Wannabehippie
    Keep in mind that Gary Lezak is pushing his own product, weather2020 with these predictions. He wants page clicks, and to get people to subscribe to his product.
  23. Wannabehippie
    The wave just off the coast of Africa has a lot of convection associated with it, but definitely no closed low, just an open wave. blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/df892e47-86d6-4518-a334-54707c0b57d5
  24. Wannabehippie
    Erin has a good circulation, but zero convection near the core. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=05L&product=ir
  25. Wannabehippie
    off topic but the anniversary of the death of Jerry Garcia is today.
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