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Wannabehippie

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Everything posted by Wannabehippie

  1. Water vapor loop, shows dry air and shear to Melissa's west, which is also giving it the kick to move to the NE. Its forward speed is up to 16MPH. blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/d28d79c9-b1dc-4880-a36a-8269bda320bd
  2. Western semicircle not looking great. Lots of deep convection near the center of circulation.
  3. Between Jamaica and Cuba, Melissa got torn apart a bit. Pressure is up to 976, definitely not as healthy as it was yesterday.
  4. I am not sure the plane got dead center of the hurricane. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF301-2613A-MELISSA.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF301-2613A-MELISSA_dropsondes.png
  5. 11:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 19.3°N 76.6°W Moving: NE at 9 mph Min pressure: 950 mb Max sustained: 130 mph
  6. If fhose really intense pink colored convection can wrap completely wrap around the center, will we see it reach cat 5 status again before it hits Cuba? Or will it only make it to Cat 3-4?
  7. 952 on first pass, so pretty close to what NHC said at 5pm EDT advisory. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-2513A-MELISSA.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-2513A-MELISSA.png
  8. We probably will find out soon, with the airplanes in there now. What do you think the winds are at?
  9. 5pm EDT advisory has it as a very dangerous cat 4 storm. 5:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 18.5°N 77.7°W Moving: NNE at 8 mph Min pressure: 921 mb Max sustained: 145 mph
  10. Not a surprise given how high some of those mountains are in Jamaica. They do a number on any tropical system. But the eye is about to hit the water again, so time will tell if if re-strengthens once it hits the bathwater temps north of Jamaica
  11. 100% spot on. They will find a place that is sheltered from the wind to broadcast from, or will just hunker down.
  12. As long as the batteries hold out, and they don't get physically blown away, they probably will be able to keep broadcasting. Once their batteries run out, that will be it it for at least a few days.
  13. I am sure he will take video, pictures while in the eye, might be a bit before he can upload any photos/pictures. He keeps repositioning as the storm gets closer as long as he can before he hunkers down.
  14. 10:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 17.7°N 78.1°W Moving: NNE at 7 mph Min pressure: 892 mb Max sustained: 185 mph Hopefully Melissa will start to speed up, pull away faster than it is moving in, but so far still crawling along at 7mph.
  15. With 180mph winds at ground level, I can only imagine how bumpy this ride is in to Melissa at flight level. Looks like the eyewall is just starting to come onshore.
  16. These numbers are insane. Hurricane Josh checked in a couple of hours ago, said he is keeping an eye on things, ready to move to a safer place if need be. 9:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 17.6°N 78.1°W Moving: NNE at 7 mph Min pressure: 896 mb Max sustained: 180 mph
  17. NOAA got a 912, 910 and a 907 on its three penetrations. Awaiting word from the AF plane on its second pass.
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