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Wannabehippie

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  1. Wannabehippie
    These numbers are insane. Hurricane Josh checked in a couple of hours ago, said he is keeping an eye on things, ready to move to a safer place if need be. 9:00 AM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 17.6°N 78.1°W Moving: NNE at 7 mph Min pressure: 896 mb Max sustained: 180 mph
  2. Wannabehippie
    Absolute buzz saw right now.
  3. Wannabehippie
    AF plane got an extrapolated sea-level pressure of 905.7 mb
  4. Wannabehippie
    NOAA got a 912, 910 and a 907 on its three penetrations. Awaiting word from the AF plane on its second pass.
  5. Wannabehippie
    Hurricane Josh is in Jamaica shooting for another eyewall penetration.
  6. Wannabehippie
    Both recon flights on first pass have lowest pressure at 910 mb.
  7. Wannabehippie
    Probably too late now for any weakening to lower the storm surge, as the waves have already built up. All that can be hoped for is that the winds back down a bit.
  8. Wannabehippie
    Those mountains should help disrupt the circulation, and weaken Melissa before it moves on to Cuba.
  9. Wannabehippie
    What will help some is that the mountains have trees, which will help prevent mudslides. If it was a place like Haiti where the mountains have been denuded of trees, there would be massive mudslides, with little or no warning, causing more deaths, and devastation.
  10. Wannabehippie
    The visible high res .5k satellite photo shows an insane eye, with the mini vortexes, etc. blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/23d25d52-a94f-4476-b368-fed4d4c0dc75 The eastern 2/3rds of Jamaica are going to get raked for a prolonged period of time due to it being on the western semi-circle of the hurricane.
  11. Wannabehippie
    Maybe just a wobbly, considering how strong it is, like top would?
  12. Wannabehippie
    I hope it undergoes a prolonged ERC soon, which will weaken Melissa.
  13. Wannabehippie
    Marshes and swamps are both wetlands, but not all welands are marshes or swamps. Swamps always have standing or slow moving water, and have trees, other woody plants. Marshes have grasses, other similar plants, are not always wet (but can be), but get flooded, usually along coastal plains, or near a river that floods.
  14. Wannabehippie
    The fall colors on trees are muted this year due to this drought. We definitely can use the rain, but it will be too late to make those changing colors pop. Looking at the forecast models it doesn't look like much rain is in store for NJ in the next 5-7 days. One system will move to the west, in the Ohio River valley, up in to Canada. Maybe some showers overnight Sun in to Monday. I had hoped the system this past weekend would help change the pattern, but I guess not.
  15. Wannabehippie
    No rain here since yesterday, but it is very breezy now.
  16. Wannabehippie
    But this storm is not going to have a classic nor'easter path. It will only get so far north, before heading back south southeast, with no cold air having the ability to come in, even in the heart of winter.
  17. Wannabehippie
  18. Wannabehippie
    Base on my amateur eyes, and satellite photos, Nine's center looks very broad and disorganized right now. There is a closed low, but it is still a big mess. Wind shear seems to have let up a bit, but still exists. Plus Humberto is not far away, moving WNW at 10mph, at : 22.9°N 61.1°W. Nine is at Location: 22.4°N 76.5°W moving NW at 5mph. Can someone confirm on latest satellite that it looks more like NNW at this time as the cold front to the north west is blocking it from getting to the coast.
  19. Wannabehippie
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-0909A-PTC09.png
  20. Wannabehippie
    So far wind shear still an issue.
  21. Wannabehippie
    Still looks like a mess on recent still color enhanced satellite photos. No closed center that I see.
  22. Wannabehippie
    The other would be a Fujiwara effect to pull an Imelda away from the coast.
  23. Wannabehippie
    94L isn't going to do anything until whatever circulation that is there, clears Hispaniola.
  24. Wannabehippie
    Borders? It is tabloid. They thrive on page Six stuff.
  25. Wannabehippie
    Hurricane Josh aka iCycone aka Josh Morgerman is chasing this one in China.
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