Hotair

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  1. Hope sheltering does not create a further issue with Covid. i am concerned with the flooding from this storm. Does anyone know how the expected ETA in the Tampa Bay region matches up with the tide?
  2. Little rain and breezy in Tampa right now. Hillsborough schools have the day off today thankfully. I can tell you that the area has had next to zero prep for any sort of major weather. With the way nearly every single GC storm has attempted intensification on approach this year, I’m concerned for folks along the coast.
  3. Imagine experiencing hurricane intensity winds Continuously for 10+ hours ? There is a potential of that around Gulf Shores today.
  4. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 130 AM CDT (0630 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sally was located an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and NOAA Doppler weather radars near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 87.8 West. Sally is moving toward the north-northeast near 2 mph (4 km/h). A north-northeastward to northeastward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected later today and tonight, followed by a faster northeastward motion on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Sally will approach the northern Gulf Coast this morning, and make landfall in the hurricane warning area later today. Sally is then expected to move inland across southeastern Alabama tonight. Recent data from An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and the Mobile Alabama Doppler weather radar indicate that Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Some further strengthening is possible before Sally makes landfall. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall occurs. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). A sustained wind of 81 mph (130 km/h) with a gust to 110 mph (178 km/h) was recently reported in Sally's northern eyewall by NOAA buoy 42012, located about 50 miles southeast of Mobile, Alabama. A sustained wind of 72 mph (117 km/h) and a gust to 90 mph (144 km/h) were recently measured by the NOAA C-MAN observing station on Dauphin Island, Alabama. The minimum central pressure recently reported by the Hurricane Hunters was 968 mb (28.58 inches).
  5. Teddy is now a cane. That’s three active canes in the Atlantic. Pretty soon NhC will need to buy more recon planes Just to keep up.
  6. If it stays offshore Through 60 hours but achieves major Cat status, there will be quite a surge and wind field that will surely devastate vast areas of coastline no? I can’t imagine many structures withstanding 80 mph winds for say 10 hours Nor pumping 12 feet of surge relentlessly for that duration.
  7. https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1305558632852066305?s=20 MJVentrice (@MJVentrice) Tweeted: The rapid evolution of Hurricane #Sally https://t.co/y4CpGDwyWp
  8. HWRF model update puts Sally at 959 hPa central pressure. That’s a Major Hurricane and 30-hPa drop in the next 18-hours.
  9. showing a 7mb drop and a 20 mph wind increase just over the past hour. That is insane
  10. Is consensus still that this won’t be a major by LF? It’s slow pace should keep it over warm water for at least 30+ hours
  11. 961 WTNT33 KNHC 270558 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Laura Intermediate Advisory Number 29A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 100 AM CDT Thu Aug 27 2020 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE LAURA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CAMERON LOUISIANA... ...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 93.3W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM E OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES
  12. 000 WTNT63 KNHC 270152 TCUAT3 Hurricane Laura Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 900 PM CDT Wed Aug 26 2020 ...900 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE... A sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) was recently reported at Cypremort Point, Louisiana, on Vermilion Bay. SUMMARY OF 900 PM CDT...0200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.8N 93.1W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES $$ Forecaster Berg/Pasch
  13. 000 WTNT63 KNHC 270054 TCUAT3 Hurricane Laura Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020 800 PM CDT Wed Aug 26 2020 ...800 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE... ...POSSIBLE TORNADOES OCCURRING IN LAURA'S OUTER BANDS OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI... SUMMARY OF 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.7N 93.1W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES $$ Forecaster Berg/Pasch