Porsche

GFS-Ensembles

UK looks like a coastal hugger.

UK coastal hugger

Not bad, getting there.

1st image is 168 and second one is 192. Be curious to see what's in between.

Here you go.

Looks about right for 18Z GFS

Not bad for SEPA

Not bad, but unlikely.

Take a look now, because it will be gone tonight.

No I want the NAM on board

BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS...15 TO 20 INCHES WITH UP TO 2 FEET ALONG THE MARYLAND BORDER. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST SNOW WITH RAPID ACCUMULATION RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF SATURDAY NIGHT AND END BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * WINDS...FROM THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SOME ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS FROM SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. Instructions: A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ANY TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUT...CARRY A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT IN YOUR CAR...INCLUDING FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. Target Area: Lancaster York

What are the winds like on the EURO? Thanks!

Thanks for your insights, are you concerned that this can still slide off to our south and ends up being a scraper for the LSV? Any concerns of a kicker in the PAC that would move this system right along and not allow it to blow up? Thanks!

I'm taking this and running with it, at least till the Euro comes in LOL.