dan11295

Members
  • Content Count

    2,611
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About dan11295

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    Maynard, MA

Recent Profile Visitors

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

  1. Reminds me of a weather channel report a long time ago during a snowstorm where they had Cantore on the ground in Natick. The front desk was going to the live report and said "Cantore is in 'na-tick' (instead of 'NA-tick') and he immediately started shaking his head.
  2. Had my 2nd Moderna this past Saturday. Had soreness and redness on the arm for a couple of days, plus a bit tired. not too much else beyond that. 7-day case average here in Mass is now under 100. Delta variant in the fall is still a bit of a wild card. Still a bit of a guessing game what things look like mortality-wise compared to say a "typical" flu season.
  3. We have seen enough slow moving storms in Texas the past few years.
  4. Exactly Over 100 million doses have been administered in the U.S. at this point.
  5. The uptick in the UK is quite notable given the time of year (outside of when seasonal coronaviruses usually spread). One current positive sign from the UK is their 21-day lagged CFR is very low (~0.5%) which is likely indicative of most cases being among the younger populating which hasn't been vaccinated.
  6. This was the second earliest 5-day heat wave in Boston. The earliest was in 1925.
  7. Obesity is one factor affecting mortality rates. Suggesting it is the "the" primary factor is a bit disingenuous. Average population age, amount of mitigation done, compliance of population wrt following health measures, health care capacity, availability of critical supplies (esp. oxygen), how Isolated a location is are all factors. Also while excess mortality is not available for many countries, for those that report is, it is a much better estimate than the official reported deaths. We know certain countries (e.g. Mexico, Russia) are significantly under reporting.
  8. https://www.economist.com/briefing/2021/05/15/there-have-been-7m-13m-excess-deaths-worldwide-during-the-pandemic https://covid19.healthdata.org/global Both the Economist and IHME have estimated the total excess mortality worldwide due to the pandemic, both coming up with a number of 7.5m+ to date.
  9. Someone at work had Bell's Palsy (facial paralysis) following 2nd dose. Testing revealing he had Lyme disease which never really manifested symptoms before. Sometimes these affects are the result of underlying conditions. the media does tend of focus on any time an apparent major reaction occurs. Risks in reality are much less from the vaccine than Covid itself.
  10. Barring a variant that has high levels of vaccine escape, which the virus may not even be capable of without it weakening itself, i don't anticipate a major winter surge in the US.
  11. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames_history.shtml This page has the new alternate naming lists replacing the Greek letters.
  12. The currently Excess Mortality number from the CDC is 690k. But due to time lagged data that doesn't account for ~40k in the past 7-8 weeks. The CDC excess mortality numbers don't factor in in ~25k flu related deaths that didn't occur last winter (CDC hasn't released their 2020-21 flu burden estimates yet though). IHME probably factored both of these things in assuming most net excess deaths were due to Covid itself as opposed to delayed care, etc. the IHME numbers still looks a bit high maybe, and of course their estimate is subject to some revision. Worldwide IHME estimates actual Covid deaths to be approximate double the official numbers, with Russia, India and Mexico responsible for a lot of the under counting.
  13. Very probable that the breakthrough cases that get hospitalized in particular are people who are immunocompromised. i.e. people that have to very careful about viral infections in general, not just Covid.
  14. Nationwide numbers continue to be encouraging. No reason to believe cases wont continue to drop now as we head into Spring. Daily deaths should begin dropping noticeably in 1-2 weeks (its been stuck in the 700-750/day range for a while). Btw, the spring wave in Michigan has enough data to show the clear benefits of vaccinations. Both winter and spring waves peaked at about the same daily case load and hospitalizations, yet daily deaths were 125/day in December vs 70/day now. (1.5% vs 0.9% CFR).
  15. Getting nice drops in cases and positivity now nationwide. For Michigan the 21-day time lag CFR is down to ~1% compared to ~1.5% in December. Good sign the vaccines are working.