Kevin Reilly

My friend's plane leaves for Honolulu Hawaii Friday, August 14th. He is taking a Hawaiian island cruise around all the islands. Looks like the GFS has a 985 mb storm and the Euro 997 mb storm making a direct hit on the big island before moving west and away. Looks like this system is a legitimate threat to Hawaii. Any updates from the more seasoned tropical guys here would be great. I am able to see the models and the water vapor maps / satellites etc. looks like a bit of shear and dry air to the north limiting development for now. Looks like the legitimate threat lies at 11 N and 143 W if I am looking at it correctly but almost looks like another up there at 15N and 139 W. It looks very active out there.

There was wildfire smoke today. Not a lot but you could clearly see the milky white mixed in with the scattered clouds today. I am going to guess this wildfire smoke is coming from Washington and Montana and southern Canada as our flow is originating in Washington to Montana to the Dakotas upper mid-west then to us. Fairly zonal flow northern tier before the peel off abruptly to the southeast to our southwest.

Picked up 0.13” pretty good down pour after they left think I was smelling wild fire smoke again. Yes pretty humid 70f humidity 96% dew point 69f

I was out doing some yard work around 3 pm and it looked like there was wild fire smoke blocking out the sun again right before the line of thunderstorms came in from the west and northwest down here in Media Delaware County. We didn't get much here winds gusting maybe 25 mph a few elevated flashes of lighting and 0.45" of rain. We are adding to the bucket a bit more as things have stalled out to our south and rain is running east over top currently.

Anyone have official NWS rainfall totals for the area? I said 2 days ago that the area will see 3-6” of rain Saturday to Monday night and I’m being questioned lol???

Poof all tornado watches dropped you could tell being outside it’s pretty stable out there along the surface. Thank the cold ocean temps.

35f a bit of drizzle left over. picked up 1” of snow quite impressive after being 83f Total snow for year 36.8” Actually snow has begun again 35f

36f moderate snow grass whitening. So high here yesterday was 83f Great turn around!

Sure why not 77f tomorrow 2-4” Thursday sounds right.

32f humidity 79% dew point 26f sleet freezing rain a few darting snow flakes. Last flakes of the year possibly. slight sleet accumulation on cars at the moment. You can tell this will not last long and should be rain very soon. I was out on the roads there are no weather related issues in central Delaware County. Roads loaded with salt too.

That fateful night in February 2017 when a 978mb storm cruised over Erie and we had winds gusting to 60-70 mph out of the SSW with tornado warnings was from that night on when our winters have been pretty bad. Perhaps we have turned the corner, but we will have to see as we go through spring, summer, fall 2026 to see what’s waiting on the other side. I give this winter an A break down: Cold: A+ Snow A Precipitation dry stretches C Snow melt rate: A- Tracking: A Freezing Creeks, Streams, Ponds, River, Bays, Cold Ocean: A+ Blocking: A-

From Hurricane hunters

Canadian Geese migration begins in front of 80+ degrees March 12th?

It was south over southern Pa and NJ

Cloudy 31f humidity 84% dew point 27f Total Snow today 0.02” coating. Total Snow for the year: 35.32”