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Kevin Reilly

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About Kevin Reilly

  • Birthday 06/20/1974

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Media, Pa Delaware County

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  1. Kevin Reilly

    E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2018-19 OBS Thread

    67 already in Media Delaware County! Wow!
  2. Kevin Reilly

    January/February Medium/Long Range Disco

    In reality so far what I have learned this year Winter of 2019 is never to trust any model beyond say 4 days anything after is an extreme crap shoot due to the chaotic pattern.
  3. Kevin Reilly

    January/February Medium/Long Range Disco

    Climate Change I am sure may affect the index the most perhaps.
  4. 35 dewpoint 26 Media pa cloudy
  5. Kevin Reilly

    January/February Medium/Long Range Disco

    I’ve been saying this for years Jan 7th 1996 PHL 31” negative NAO just to name a few.
  6. Kevin Reilly

    Jan 17-18 Light Snow OBS

    30f Media Delaware County cloudy.
  7. Kevin Reilly

    January Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Now I know we are all looking for -EPO, -NAO -AO +PNA MJO SSWE etc. but what about the possibility that the warming ocean temps world wide is overwhelming the cooling produced by the melting polar ice caps. Yes, I am trying to link the possibility that whatever you want to call it global warming or climate change is at work here in regards to our weather patterns. It would appear to me that the overall warmth of the ocean especially the Pacific and the Atlantic is overwhelming the whole system with warmth and the lag time to get winter is increasing over time relative to normal. In North America for instance the continental arctic air is overwhelmed by the warming of the pacific for instance causing a storm track that just favors more regularly warmth flooding in from the Pacific. I mean 15" snowstorms along the East Coast Richmond to NYC are becoming like tracking hurricanes up the east coast in August to October. Kevin
  8. Kevin Reilly

    Major Hurricane Michael

    How about comparison to hurricane Opal 1995 https://www.google.com/search?q=hurricane+opal&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-us&client=safari
  9. Kevin Reilly

    Major Hurricane Florence

  10. Kevin Reilly

    Major Hurricane Florence

  11. Kevin Reilly

    Major Hurricane Florence

    Invest 94 L also exploding too now over top of Bermuda I wonder what if any effect that Invest 94L has on Florence? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=94L&product=ir
  12. Kevin Reilly

    Major Hurricane Florence

    The record warm waters cannot be ignored but the atmospheric dynamics and the interaction of the westerlies probably would be the reason Nick is saying it is hard to get a category 4 this far north. Now with that said Category 2-3 coming northbound would do enough damage with wind but especially flooding rains especially if this storm ventures up into the Mid Atlantic into Pennsylvania where all water ways and reservoirs are full to capacity. I mean really we received inches and inches of rain in August, had 3 inches in two hours last night, and 2-4" coming tomorrow into Monday from Remnant Gordon. Tough times ahead for sure if Florence moves like the 18z GFS depicts.
  13. Kevin Reilly

    E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2017-18 OBS Thread

    My best guess snow map for April 2nd 2am to 12 pm
  14. Kevin Reilly

    March 20/21 STORM Obs/Discussion- No Banter

    Media Delaware County 10 miles west-southwest of Philadelphia International Airport 39f dew point 17f humidity 42% Wind NE at 6. It was 50f with a dew point of 22f at 5:30 pm.
  15. Kevin Reilly

    March 6 -7 Noreaster Obs Thread

    32f moderate snow Media Delaware County coming up on 3” trees loaded very concerning