TradeWinds

I think Orlando would disagree with that, unless you're talking homes demolished.

I'm surprised Taylor County building codes are only to withstand 130 mph gusts let alone sustained winds. I'm sure many are built above standards but older homes will be tested.

Speed is what might make the difference. I know when Hurricane Charley zipped across FL, Orlando had its highest gust ever at 108 amd that was pretty far from landfall. What surprised me is FL building codes are only to 130ish where this may landfall. I would think Valdosta older buildings/roofs could see high damage if hurricane force winds are sustained.

Was looking at some obs in the band over St Pete. Not bad. Almost tropical storm force winds.

Don't disagree on current consensus but GFS was not the outlier for Ian. UK and Euro were mostly the outliers.

Looks like tighter clusters mostly but many of the more western tracks show the cane moving NNW starting now or even should have by now. Time will tell.

Some clarification from NWS Melbourne

What you describe is true of every tropical storm. Very rarely do rated winds verify, at least consistently.

At least 2 people died in Orlando related to electrocution of a fallen power line.

Orange County looked to peak at several hours of sustained TS (35-38 mph) with gusts to mid 50s. I heard transformers popping this morning.

Here are some reported gusts. I believe cocoa had several 70+ mph gusts. The 100 was at 120 ft elevation as has been reported.

A little close off and tightening just before landfall. Impressive for mid Nov.

1935 - Miami (Nov 4) 1985 - Kate (Cat 2 into Panhandle Nov 21)

Quite impressive actually for the latest FL east coast landfall in recorded history.

It's like an optical illusion especially with wider eyes. They also use a composite radar I suppose. Even on radarscope, you can tell on a 20 frame loop it is WNW. Check out this loop and you'll see jogs but a general WNW. https://twitter.com/TMainolfiWESH/status/1590518516167368704?t=enBwT-KL08LxbScN89GQ9w&s=19