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hlcater

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About hlcater

  • Rank
    Formerly NWLinn

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KVTI
  • Location:
    Hiawatha, Eastern IA

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  1. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    The lakes/OV sub is the best place to be. No bias.
  2. hlcater

    January 21-24 Winter Storm Potential

    Shoulda let cyclone start it. He’s on fire with these lately. So if it busts... I’m holding you accountable.
  3. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Iowa still gets the moat in between the northern stream wave and southern stream. It is a bit wetter, but the moat is still very apparent.
  4. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Literally just last storm?
  5. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    It's a bigger risk farther west I feel. The further east you are, the less the risk of that is.
  6. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    I miss the DGEX
  7. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    I’m not at all worried that the GFS ticked south and progressive because it’s a well known tendency with that particular model. It’s almost always too fast with strong/amped systems at this range and usually ends up correcting towards the slower consensus. What concerned me is that the rest of the 12z suite(so far) followed suit.
  8. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    The 12z suite sucks across the board. Hopefully the Euro holds serve as every other model moved south and more progressive with the system.
  9. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Like normal, this isn't my map. So no, I cant give you the amounts farther east :(.
  10. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Yea pretty big run of the FV3. Gotta wait for the Kuchera.
  11. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?mod=ukmet&run=00&stn=PNM&hh=000&map=na&lang=en&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest
  12. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    Ukie looks south and suppressed.
  13. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    There's a pretty monstrous area of 8"+ on the 00z GFS. Came in more juiced and stronger all around. Big broad stripe across pretty much the whole sub. Gonna be a lot of happy people with that run. EDIT: Pic added.
  14. hlcater

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    DVN is pretty bullish, already featuring categorical probs for the entire CWA for Friday night. Friday/Saturday... This period represents a potential stronger system and more impactful winter weather, as energy diving south from Canada attempts to phase with energy in strong southern stream jet. While confidence is increasing that the area will be impacted by a round of wintry precipitation, it remains low on timing/track and subsequent precipitation amounts/type. Northern energy looks to dislodge a large chunk of Arctic air sending it southward. This will aid in enhancement of the baroclinicity/ thermal gradient, which coupled with strong dynamics (left exit region) should be favorable for strong frontal circulation and FGen forcing. Thus, I wouldn`t be surprised to see models trend stronger and subsequently wetter with this system. Bottom line for now... Confidence is increasing on a storm system to impact the area Friday PM into Saturday with accumulating snow, and a chance for a wintry mix mainly south. Low confidence exists on any amounts and location. Still a lot of details that need to get resolved, but anyone planning travel late this week and weekend will need to stay tuned on this potential winter storm.
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