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hlcater

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About hlcater

  • Rank
    Formerly NWLinn

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KVTI
  • Location:
    Hiawatha, Eastern IA

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  1. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Josh's full video of Dorian is now up.
  2. hlcater

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    the point of my post is that dvorak blows and should only be used if there are literally no better alternatives
  3. hlcater

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    Because everyone knows that Dvorak is the best intensity estimation method out there, firmly beating recon aircraft in every metric.
  4. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Would have to assume, of that sample size, almost all of them are in the northern west pac/bering sea. Storms like that are uncommon in the atlantic. I'll eat my shoe if 937mb verifies.
  5. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    I'm honestly surprised it did at all. I thought it was done when it started to get gutted from the inside out. Storms usually dont recover from that, or at least take a super long time to.
  6. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    looks like shear should increase later today and into tonight however.
  7. hlcater

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    why people continue to feed/interact with SENC is beyond me
  8. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Yikes. Apparently this is what’s left of “the mudd” in Marsh Harbor.
  9. hlcater

    Hurricane Dorian Banter Thread

    What’s most surprising to me is all that water.
  10. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Some of the structure/defoliation on these videos coming out of Abaco is incredible. At first glance, the structural damage doesnt look too bad, but you gotta keep in mind that this is the Bahamas and this type of damage is being done to rigorously built structures specifically designed to withstand major hurricanes. That is what makes this impressive to me.
  11. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Papin(sp?) was totally right about that secondary band continuously having trouble wrapping all the way around.
  12. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Can we get some actual analysis instead of 13 separate people giving a GFS play-by-play? Thanks.
  13. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Ehh, the NW quad is the RFQ right now, which is probably all the more reason they doubled back to check it one more time before leaving.
  14. hlcater

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    With the environment to essentially hold serve and with higher OHC in the Bahamas, I really don’t see any reason that this won’t continue strengthening until there’s some sort of core imperfection. I think 10-15kts of additional intensification is not unreasonable, particularly because the core is still stable for the time being. Like windspeed said earlier, the lack of outer banding is almost certainly serving to stabilize the eyewall. Essentially the only thing stopping Dorian now is inner core dynamics.
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