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hlcater

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About hlcater

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    Formerly NWLinn

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KVTI
  • Location:
    Hiawatha, Eastern IA

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  1. hlcater

    September 2018 General Discussion

    #shelfie today as aforementioned storms passed thru IC earlier. (Black bars suck, but amwx wanted to be difficult so I had to do it that way)
  2. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    But the point I was trying to make is I don't think that happens at a fast enough rate such that it outpaces the speed of upwelling, especially for a storm the size of Florence.
  3. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Probably not. I don't think the NE flow of water is fast enough/deep enough to counteract upwelling. But I agree that the inner core has actually gotten its act together rather well. I doubt it intensifies much, but it'll probably at least hold serve
  4. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Given the large size and Levi’s most recent video, it probably won’t consolidate a single true eyewall anymore. It’s essentially a bariatric hurricane. Too large and overweight to the point it’s causing detrimental effects to the health of the storm.
  5. Looks like things got pretty spicy in here.
  6. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    I dont think the eye is 60-70 miles wide. It may look like it is, but recon did a little loop inside the eyewall. Unless that wasn't what you were using to judge size. Does anyone have a vortex message?
  7. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    That looks like an old analysis as it hasnt updated thru 9/13 00z. Looks like from midday or so.
  8. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    What does that graphic have it at now? -assuming there's a newer version for say... 03z-04z.
  9. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    There has to be some poorly analyzed shear impacting florence, it's had problems getting anything going to the SW of the core all evening. Until this is fixed, florence should struggle to intensify much.
  10. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    I wonder why this is? Satellite presentation(after taking a dump late this afternoon) has been improving this evening. Even the morning recon when the storm was still in an EWRC and the sat. presentation was worse still had more robust winds. I'm very confused to say the least.
  11. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    I think this has less to do with the ERC and more to do with the fact the SW quad has been pretty beat up the past 4-6 hours.
  12. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    SW eyewall is frankly not that impressive. Only 100kts SFMR.
  13. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    Explosion of convection in the SW eyewall over the past 30 minutes and that band others have been talking about seems to be maintaining strength. Very interested to see what recon finds.
  14. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    That outer ring doesn’t really look like an OEW to me. Too pulsy in nature.
  15. hlcater

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    The EPS is a good bit to the left of the OFCL track. EPS consensus still brings it into the NC/SC border area
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