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About wxsniss

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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    Brookline, MA

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  1. Any northerly track of the CoC just west of Tampa will bring major surge problems into the bay... might be worse if it had a NE trajectory but this is among the worst Euro runs for Tampa yet.
  2. 0z Euro would be very bad for surge in Tampa...
  3. In addition to being at least 20 miles north of where 0z Euro progged for 2pm, current location of Irma is on the northernmost end of 0z EPS members.
  4. Judging center from radar, Irma would have to track south/southwest from current position to be at the 2pm position depicted by the 0z Euro (which had it roughly 20 miles inland, between Morón and Ciego de Ávila)...
  5. Best IR presentation in past few hours, the "stick a fork in it" posts are trolling
  6. Kohx afd catching up to the model trends mentioned earlier... adding in chance of some cirrus blow off of storms in Mississippi valley. Not the end of the world given soupy airmass, and still think there's room for this to trend great vs. good for BNA. I feel like it's January writing this: we want that 0z Fri GFS / Euro solution back!
  7. Was thinking of photos with black hole in the sky behind... how will you angle your camera? The sun will be nearly overhead (vs. those shots you see with the eclipse near the horizon).
  8. Key word might be "surprisingly" lol... I'm quite giddy. I'll PM you my cellphone #. Packing includes hardcopy road maps assuming cellular service will be inundated. Picking up rental at BNA, have to also pick up my brother, then we will head to motel in downtown Nashville. Not sure we will trial run to Gallatin though I'd definitely do that if I were alone. Monday AM early wakeup, plan to leave for Gallatin by 9-9:30am, and will adjust earlier if crowds are obviously insane Sunday night. Reminder for everyone to turn off cellphone service / texting etc so as not to get annoying distractions during eclipse. My only plan is to video record ~ 10 min of event on my iphone. Nothing distracting, no practice needed, no messing around with camera settings. Otherwise just taking in every second of the experience.
  9. Not sure how these cloud prediction algorithms are done... weather.us and pivotalweather GFS trended cloudier for BNA area, entirely high clouds, though ridge placement looks about the same as the best run 0z Fri for GFS + Euro. Kohx sounded optimistic this morning, scattered ci + diurnal cu. I think we are in good vs. great territory. We'll take it and hope it trends even better in next day!
  10. Entering 96 hour timeframe on globals for 18z Monday. Nashville looking good, Fella. GFS / CMC decent, Euro could be better. Steady as she goes. AFD: "Monday, eclipse day, looks like a typical August day. It will be hot and humid. The morning may begin with total sunshine, then as afternoon arrives, we will likely see some diurnal cumulus clouds form as patches of thin cirrus move overhead. The best news is that pops look very low with a prevailing upper level ridge. The updated forecast will show 20 pops across the south half and less than 15 percent over the north. Overall, we are optimistic about seeing the eclipse, but it will probably not be perfect, and viewers may have to deal with some annoying patchy clouds. " I'm hoping we can dry this out a little more.
  11. 3:33-->5:20pm Jetblue, direct flight
  12. I have to check with my brother. It's his first time in Nashville and he had ambitious hopes to enjoy the music scene / honky-tonk bars / Opryland etc Sunday night. If we do meet up, the Vanderbilt area would be perfect. My flight from Logan gets in around 5:30pm.
  13. We should! To clarify, I'm staying at a "random motel in the city" meaning in downtown Nashville. So plan to drive up to Gallatin Monday morning depending on traffic. Will have to make contingency plans based on clouds / traffic. Yeah Euro / CMC / GFS have held decent. At least no large scale synoptic system to mess it up, with a decent southeast ridge and high pressure.
  14. With my brother. I gather you will be with family? On your recommendation a while back, I reserved 2 tix to the Gallatin event. We are staying in some random motel in the city Sunday night, then plan to stage early Monday morning. But I'm a little nervous about making return flights at 5pm. Normal drive from Gallatin to BNA ~45 min, so figure we will have 2 hours heading back at 2pm. Traffic warnings sounds apocalyptic. I read that a group of 300 Japanese tourists made reservations to Gallatin a year ago, so extrapolate from that. Was also unclear to me how we get to the soccer fields that are the "main viewing area", and how that relates to the concerts etc... my preference is minimal light pollution and minimal obstruction of the horizons, which an open field (or elevated point) could achieve. But even if traffic and parking is a complete disaster, looks like plenty of options to improvise: