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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Looks like the GFS takes the energy from 90L across Mexico into the Pacific where it becomes a hurricane, making landfall in Mexico before crossing back into the Gulf and developing into a hurricane again.
  2. olafminesaw
    No doubt a cat 5 now. Probably went through some kind of eyewall restructuring over night
  3. olafminesaw
    Some of the wildest banding I've ever seen. Well on it's way to cat 5
  4. olafminesaw
    What a beaut! Looking a bit annular. Looks stronger than 105 mph...
  5. olafminesaw
    Huge corrections from all models. Now many models have it slowing down prior to landfall which may give it an opportunity to go through ERC before landfall
  6. olafminesaw
  7. olafminesaw
    At GSO we are at 82 hours and counting with a dew point below 60. That is the 7th longest streak all time for the month of August.
  8. olafminesaw
    Already seeing gusts of 50-65 mph across the island
  9. olafminesaw
  10. olafminesaw
    Getting a bit of a "halficane" look
  11. olafminesaw
    Not a nice fresh delicious cinnamon roll. The one that's been sitting in the case at Panera all morning, growing steadily more stale.
  12. olafminesaw
    Fair enough. I feel like we've been spoiled by a lot of RI hurricanes lately
  13. olafminesaw
    Looks like it took a big gulp of dry air
  14. olafminesaw
    Bermuda is a tiny target to hit. It fits nearly within the DC beltway with room to spare. Bermuda has had a number of brushes with major hurricanes and a handful of direct hits. But never a cat 4 plus. With SSTs being way above normal, it is not outside the realm of possibility for Bermuda to have a strike from a cat 4.
  15. olafminesaw
    Pretty neat graphic, you can watch an animation of the obs across the island as the storm approaches https://www.weather.bm/tools/graphics.asp?name=ISLAND_AWOS&user=
  16. olafminesaw
    Yesterday's high of 73 is the coolest since May 15th! This morning felt refreshing as well
  17. olafminesaw
    Evident eye on radar. Puerto Rico getting pounded with rain
  18. olafminesaw
    That's 20+" of rain for Bermuda over the next few days, primarily from a PRE (Predecessor Rain Event).
  19. olafminesaw
    It appears Debby did cool waters somewhat significantly right at the coast, but should recover quickly
  20. olafminesaw
    Keep it in your pants East coast!... sometimes I think they do this on purpose
  21. olafminesaw
    I am guessing rain will be on the low side of forecast in the triad. Many approaching 3", but if the HRRR is to be believed, heavier rain bands will be more hit or miss from here on out. Still many hours to go. On the other hand wind way over performed. The NWS was calling for gusts under 30 mph, but GSO has reported 5 out of the last 6 hours with gusts over 40mph and one gust to 47
  22. olafminesaw
    For the triad a dry slot approaches. Remains to be seen how much it fills in.
  23. olafminesaw
    Some homes in that area but not a heavily populated area. May have been a direct hit on the solar farm though. (Didn't realize we had anything at that scale in NC)
  24. olafminesaw
    It's really picked up speed. At this rate she will make landfall by late afternoon/early evening
  25. olafminesaw
    Wow, up to 60mph, I wasn't expecting that at all after the NHC reduced landfall strength to 50mph
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