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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. Blasting along now at 17 mph. Kinda surprised forward speed hasn't effected it's structure more
  2. A mesovortex that got slinghshotted across the eye (I'm sure that's not the correct term)? Haven't seen anything like it
  3. When it transitions to subtropical, will it continue to contribute towards ACE?
  4. Increasingly, satellite seems to be indicating an EWRC is underway. Will be interesting to to see what recon shows
  5. There should be a mercy rule for these kind of systems
  6. Yep, probably not very likely, I feel like it's pretty unusual this time of year.
  7. That ULL definitely opens the door for some wokiness to happen. And ULLs are notoriously hard to forecast
  8. The GEFS has been quite consistent/reliable thus far
  9. People forget how even when the pattern favors a strong Atlantic ridge, storms that come out of the MDR Recurve OTS like 80% of the time, especially strong storms. All it takes is a slight relaxation of the high.
  10. Sam's inner core organization is a little slower than expected this morning. May support a slight adjustment south.
  11. Some strong to severe storms this evening
  12. Anything beyond this is speculation, but... intriguing nonetheless
  13. 95L is trying to be the longest surviving cherry ever
  14. First wedge of the year! (Yay) Easier to scour out this time of year, but still. Wouldn't be surprised to see temps stay in the mid 70s today in the Triad
  15. Seems typically with a large, tilted, fast moving system you tend to see more wind field expansion than an increase in max winds. But I suppose possible the eyewall could reorganize somewhat
  16. *sad cricket noises* Anyway, with the MCS that moved through, I doubt we will hit our forecast high of 86 in the triad. Muggy muggy though
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