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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. Just a little end of run HRRR magic at happy hour anyone?
  2. Not really concerned about ice. Dew points a few hours before onset are nowhere near what you typically see, even in VA.
  3. Seems colder but also a bit further North. There's some hope for a little light snow/sleet with the leading edge north of 40 if you are to believe GFS trends. Just can't cave to the Euro for that to be possible though
  4. 6z Euro hasn't bumped south at all, I'm not really buying the GFS ice possible North of the VA border for sure though
  5. At least a week of depressing weather goes a lot faster than a week of anxiously refreshing model runs
  6. Greensboro has not had above average snowfall/more than 2" of snow in February in ten years
  7. I'll just be checking the Cascaded webcams instead of the models...
  8. Canadian also has two back to back storms, the first ice, the second snow
  9. LA Nina starting to flex it's muscles it seems. Makes it much harder to keep storms from cutting. Trends have been positive overnight though, so still watching
  10. Hard not to be optimistic up your way, especially if you're a fan of the mixed precip winter storms.
  11. It seems like in general storms have tended south this winter FWIW
  12. Eh, the GFS has it too, just a little further north. Worth watching trends anyway
  13. Volatility! These are within a 4 day timeframe
  14. Starting to think there will be an extremely sharp cutoff East of which will get 1"+ and ~30 miles west gets little or nothing. I'm guessing a long or a little east of 85
  15. Seems like the HRRR is depicting ground truth reasonably close so far. Actually 6z was probably a bit to far inland for LA Island corrected at 12z. Doesn't mean we won't get precip further inland in the Carolina's, but it is all to easy to look at virga and think the models are to suppressed with the moisture
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