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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. It seems to always be playing catch-up. For us in the triad QPF is the big question now as it seems more likely than not we will get mostly snow (although never count out the warm nose.). Usually the Euro over does it, so I'm guessing .5-1"
  2. Yeah and I think that temperature gradient from the wedge is just going to enhance precip rates, especially wherever that sleet/snow line is
  3. Canadian is all over the place, makes it difficult to take stock in
  4. I nominate @NorthHillsWx to make a storm thread. I feel like this is your storm
  5. Something to watch, the warm nose currently isn't super strong, which kinda makes sense due to the favorable storm track. Dynamic cooling may help flip some areas along the changeover line back to snow when heavier rates/better dynamics set up. Need to watch the wraparound for a changeover as well
  6. Icy 6z Canadian, a bit warmer/more amped than other guidance
  7. Feels like the EPS has been rock steady on a Danville to Richmond bullseye for days
  8. Pretty much where we want it. Sleet is inevitable
  9. The GFS is a big outlier regarding temps
  10. As I believe NorthHillsWx alluded to earlier, it's all about the timing of the phase. Once the phase occurs the thermals improve, we really want a classic miller A, while some models are a bit more miller B / late phase (GFS)
  11. A tale as old as time, all the cold air gets dumped into Texas and we get the leftovers
  12. Canadian looks halfway between the GFS and Euro at H5
  13. No phasing, very different than the Euro. The second wave gets left behind as well.
  14. The GFS so far is a bit slower and a bit more amped
  15. To beat the dead horse, the ICON looks way different at H5 than the other models
  16. Like three days before the last snow event the ICON had no precip impacting the Gulf coast, it's pretty much useless.
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