olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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The next week looks wet, quite a big of variability on just how wet
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Current radar looks like...dry air is eating into our snowfall
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Pronounced Guilford county split going on. Odd how things can change in just a few weeks
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Greensboro's all time record max min is likely to be set for a single month, the lowest it has dropped was 68 degrees which would beat the old record of 67 set in 2016 and 2015 (July as well). We are only +2 on the month, I think that the lack of a break from the heat/humidity is what has made this July feel worse than the last few.
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The GFS and Euro doesn't have us above 90 again after Thursday until August 10th. I'd count that as a win.
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Central Florida getting record heat tells me the ridge was just a bit further south than expected
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Now that is the definition of an isolated severe storm
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Denise, and Floyd rainfall totals it does look like more than half came from non tropical systems :
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The Graham station is getting close to it's all time monthly precip record of 16.85" set in September 1999 (a tropical system i assume). Up to 14.12 and counting.
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Another 24 hours or so before dewpoints finally drop below 70. Should put the streaks near second place all time
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It has been worse than normal, although July is typically fairly consistent in that regard. I think the rain makes it feel worse because RH% has somewhat of an impact on how humid it feels as well, not just the dewpoint.
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Looks like some convergence over I40, surprise surprise that's where I would expect higher chances of flash flooding this evening
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Looks like the graham station is currently missing the data from yesterday, but it was prior to yesterday at 12" and the record was 12.01" going back to 1902.
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RAH has the highest flash flood warning count on record YTD
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I thought I'd pop in here because of the curiosity of the FFW over just Charlottesville. Don't think I've ever seen a warning for just one city like that before
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Soggy weather will continue until morale improves
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Yeah, GSO has 6 consecutive hours of thunderstorm obs. That is pretty rare I would have to imagine. It wasn't just occasional thunder either, it was mostly at least every minute or two during that timeframe
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I guess I'm not complaining, but lol
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The Hires NAM did a good job (blind squirrel). I can't recall any other tropical system that had the same kind of totals that didn't feature either a stall for a significant period of time or some kind of mesoscale training thunderstorms far away from the center. Most of the precip fell within a 6-12 hour period and featured the core of the TS
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Precip departures For June: GSO -.25 RAH -.42 FAY -.15 Charlotte +1.39 Greenville +1.88 Asheville +2.16 Wilmington +.67
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89/73 with not a pop up in sight
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A bunch of stationary storms parked right over 95, would make for an interesting drive
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Also this mornings sounding smashed the all time record for ML cape for the 12z soundings data set at GSO: 3,632 vs the old record of 3,588 set in 1983. In fact only four soundings have ever exceeded 3,000
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Current ML lapse rates at 8+ and ML cape around 4500 near Fayetteville along with a touch of shear. Gotta watch out for popcorn storms with nasty microbursts, especially in the sand hills.
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Already at 88/73. That Excessive heat warning may be needed after all at this rate
