olafminesaw

And 15% tor. Kind shocked TBH. It's been a while since the last one in the region I think.

Thanks, but snow trophies melt, and I lost the one from last year. How will I be able to impress the hot chicks without the trophies to prove my forecasting prowess?

And you're checking to see if all the balls are fully inflated.

Seems awfully wedgy this morning for severe. But there's time to clear out a bit I suppose.

The 18z Nam dewpoint is running 10 degrees above actuals for this afternoon in the triad

Everyone tommorow

Kinda strange how to our south is looking so much better. Goes to show what a dynamic system can do

Below freezing in the middle of the day too in the heaviest snow axis. Are there any analogs for this?

Lolwat

Pretty much the worst possible track for Beira, a city of 500k.

Right, I had those numbers flipped. It was an auto-generated screen name generated by Runescape from a long time ago, I used it for a lot of accounts. I moved to NC this fall. I had been going to school in Newport News and I lived in Chantilly 3 years ago. I nearly didn't enter this year because I no longer lived in the region, but someone tagged me, since I won last year.

Also Stormpc would overtake me with any amount at DCA

It seems historically I am more likely than not to hold on for the win, but my margin for error is narrow. Odds of at least .1" of snow in the second half of March/April (past 30 years): DCA (April): 23% (6.6%) IAD: 51% (13%) BWI: 43% (10%) RIC: 23% (10%) Odds of at least 1" of snowfall DCA: 13% IAD: 40% BWI: 20% RIC: 10%

Really strange how tightly clustered the ensembles are. Kinda makes me suspicious.