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olafminesaw

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About olafminesaw

  • Birthday 08/05/1995

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Greensboro NC

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  1. olafminesaw

    April 18, 19, 2019 Severe Event

    And 15% tor. Kind shocked TBH. It's been a while since the last one in the region I think.
  2. olafminesaw

    Mid-Atlantic winter 2018-19 snowfall contest

    Thanks, but snow trophies melt, and I lost the one from last year. How will I be able to impress the hot chicks without the trophies to prove my forecasting prowess?
  3. olafminesaw

    Mid-Atlantic winter 2018-19 snowfall contest

    And you're checking to see if all the balls are fully inflated.
  4. olafminesaw

    General Severe Weather

    Seems awfully wedgy this morning for severe. But there's time to clear out a bit I suppose.
  5. olafminesaw

    April 2nd 2019 Possible Flizzard Discussion&Obs

    The 18z Nam dewpoint is running 10 degrees above actuals for this afternoon in the triad
  6. olafminesaw

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Everyone tommorow
  7. olafminesaw

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Kinda strange how to our south is looking so much better. Goes to show what a dynamic system can do
  8. olafminesaw

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Below freezing in the middle of the day too in the heaviest snow axis. Are there any analogs for this?
  9. olafminesaw

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Lolwat
  10. Pretty much the worst possible track for Beira, a city of 500k.
  11. olafminesaw

    Mid-Atlantic winter 2018-19 snowfall contest

    Right, I had those numbers flipped. It was an auto-generated screen name generated by Runescape from a long time ago, I used it for a lot of accounts. I moved to NC this fall. I had been going to school in Newport News and I lived in Chantilly 3 years ago. I nearly didn't enter this year because I no longer lived in the region, but someone tagged me, since I won last year.
  12. olafminesaw

    Mid-Atlantic winter 2018-19 snowfall contest

    Also Stormpc would overtake me with any amount at DCA
  13. olafminesaw

    Mid-Atlantic winter 2018-19 snowfall contest

    It seems historically I am more likely than not to hold on for the win, but my margin for error is narrow. Odds of at least .1" of snow in the second half of March/April (past 30 years): DCA (April): 23% (6.6%) IAD: 51% (13%) BWI: 43% (10%) RIC: 23% (10%) Odds of at least 1" of snowfall DCA: 13% IAD: 40% BWI: 20% RIC: 10%
  14. olafminesaw

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Really strange how tightly clustered the ensembles are. Kinda makes me suspicious.
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