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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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My definition is any of the following criteria being met. Of course no winter meets these criteria consecutively, but the end of winter in my book is whenever the last date of one of these criteria is met 1) snow/sleet accumulation 1"+ 2) ice accumulation more than a light glaze 3) high temps in the 30s for 3+ days in a 5 day stretch
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In all seriousness, something must have changed this winter, they used to hold back graphics until they are publicly released, now the automated maps seem to be available at any time (presumably based on the NBM). If so, it's not great for these graphics to be potentially shared all over social media before they get any kind of human review.
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I simply could not be less enthused for 33 and rain
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EPS did trend colder, but need significantly colder air to get meaningful frozen precip. Would target mid-20s dewpoints in place at least leading up to the event. CAD over performing often means temps held in the upper 30s instead of torching to the 50s around here, without a strong high and decently cold source air. Both are kinda meh on consensus right now
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I do think it's over for significant snowfall, at least south of central VA. Would be an ice storm and anything significant seems like a stretch at this point in time
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Flurries in Greensboro
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It's been incredibly consistent in that general look over the past couple days
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A quick sleet and ice followed by a changeover.
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Charleston WV is getting blasted this morning. Too bad all the moisture will be wrung out before getting to us
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Just a couple flurries in stokesdale. Doing much in Winston or pretty light?
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Your frustration is totally justified. A lot easier to be optimistic when we've already scored big time out this way. I have a feeling something funky is going to happen last week of February or first week of March and all here will be off though
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Some models showing a little burst of snow from the clipper riding the arctic front Friday evening. Something to watch, but not very impactful with surface temps lagging
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El nino is a bit overrated IMO
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The remainder of the winter remains long shots, but some of us enjoy tracking. Just a few more spins of the slot machine, hoping for three cherries
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Yep, those two max zones have been showing up on a lot of guidance. Feels familiar (although this time the boom zones will be around an inch)
