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olafminesaw
olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Page 1 of 108
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Is it just me or has the HRRR been performing quite poorly lately? I guess it should do well with showing the CAD evolution regardless of exact details
8 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Yeah pretty much, at the surface anyway. Stronger CAD despite not really jumping south at all
10 hours ago
2,444 replies
1
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Sleet bomb is back on the menu boys and girls
12 hours ago
2,444 replies
1
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Through 39 hrs, noticeably south with the push of moisture on the GFS
12 hours ago
2,444 replies
4
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Seemingly aligning with the rest of guidance WRT the track
13 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
13 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Found these maps that pretty much align with my thinking right now.
15 hours ago
2,444 replies
3
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
15 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
15 hours ago
2,444 replies
8
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Is it also fair to say it's handling of the CAD also makes it's handling of the surface low track suspect as well?
16 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
It's all about speeding up the onset in order to get snow south of the border. South shifts won't really help if onset is delayed
16 hours ago
2,444 replies
3
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Yeah heavy rain would drop off the trees to some degree even if temps are at 25. Bands of heavy rain are much preferred to steady drizzle
17 hours ago
2,444 replies
1
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
17 hours ago
2,444 replies
2
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
We are getting 2" of precip despite the Appalachian blocking the moisture feed (depicted clearly on models) north GA/AL is getting 3-4"+ of QPF
18 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
The HP was a bit weaker, but the coastal transfer occured further so kind of a wash
18 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Comes north slightly in the end, but not much different than 6z
18 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
A bit delayed a bit more strung out. No major changes through 54
18 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Slightly south with a stronger HP
18 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Same for the RGEM. It does have a good period of sleet but heavy ZR with temps in the low to mid 20s
18 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
19 hours ago
2,444 replies
2
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
That warm nose is incredible given the precip hasn't even arrived yet
19 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Not much difference overall I guess but if we wanted to trend towards a stronger wedge it moved in the right direction
20 hours ago
2,444 replies
2
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Diabolical sounding for Raleigh
21 hours ago
2,444 replies
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Chance of major ice impacts
22 hours ago
2,444 replies
1
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
olafminesaw
replied to
Jimbo!
's topic in
Southeastern States
Seems reasonable for now. I still think we get mostly sleet in the triad, but better to prepare for ice if it's a coinflip
22 hours ago
2,444 replies
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