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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Just past peak in the triad, about a week early I think. The really weird thing is that my maple tree and oak trees are dropping about on the same schedule, usually the maple tree is a couple weeks earlier.
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Someone's excited! Glad we're back in the hunt though we are likely chasing token first flakes at best
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Could be quite the impressive temp drop between Sunday night and Monday morning, from 70 to wind chills in the low to mid 20s
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
olafminesaw replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
The GFS spins up a gulf hurricane in the long range every time a butterfly farts -
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
That's massive. As a point of reference, Katrina was about 10% of GDP at the time. Unfortunately the resort industry will be severely affected, which will take time to recover. -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Likely will be the first season since 2015 without a land falling US hurricane. Puts an exclamation point on the "all it takes is one" rule -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
It's trying but the new eyewall is huge an unsymmetrical, so I think it's unlikely to strengthen any unless the eye gets smaller. Don't think that will happen before it starts to become more post-tropical -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
There's no doubt in my mind. I also feel he was a pioneer in terms of bringing hurricane chasing into the mainstream among the weather community and even to some extent to the general public. He showed that it adds value both from a scientific data standpoint and in terms of bringing visibility to the experiences of survivors. Finally he shows that he can have compassion for those affected while still being passionate/enthusiastic about experiencing the raw power of hurricanes. -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Part of Black River : completely wiped away: https://x.com/WxNB_/status/1983630143647289414 -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Another mind-blowing satellite loop, closeup of the eye https://x.com/weatherdak/status/1983629157381894297 -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
https://x.com/AndrewHolnessJM/status/1983616601464434863 First flyover shot I've seen. more tornado-like damage -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Yeah there's a ton of clusters of houses along the back roads through the hills that don't look like much on the map but account for thousands of residents. Similar to the Appalachians in that way. Hill tops along the path of the eye could have easily had gusts over 180 mph. These people could be cut off for weeks without shelter, water etc. -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Goodness looks like a tornado came through -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Yikes. This solid brick church was completely destroyed in Black River, like a bomb went off. The kind of damage only storm surge can do https://x.com/nwadeema/status/1983342714986082750/mediaViewer?currentTweet=1983342714986082750¤tTweetUser=nwadeema -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Footage from black River. Looks like roofs ripped off and surge https://x.com/Met4CastUK/status/1983435662100705503 -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Probably only borderline a major hurricane at this point, but a much wider area of hurricane force winds -
Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
olafminesaw replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1983245789158642173
