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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. EPS did trend colder, but need significantly colder air to get meaningful frozen precip. Would target mid-20s dewpoints in place at least leading up to the event. CAD over performing often means temps held in the upper 30s instead of torching to the 50s around here, without a strong high and decently cold source air. Both are kinda meh on consensus right now
  2. I do think it's over for significant snowfall, at least south of central VA. Would be an ice storm and anything significant seems like a stretch at this point in time
  3. It's been incredibly consistent in that general look over the past couple days
  4. A quick sleet and ice followed by a changeover.
  5. Charleston WV is getting blasted this morning. Too bad all the moisture will be wrung out before getting to us
  6. Just a couple flurries in stokesdale. Doing much in Winston or pretty light?
  7. Your frustration is totally justified. A lot easier to be optimistic when we've already scored big time out this way. I have a feeling something funky is going to happen last week of February or first week of March and all here will be off though
  8. Some models showing a little burst of snow from the clipper riding the arctic front Friday evening. Something to watch, but not very impactful with surface temps lagging
  9. The remainder of the winter remains long shots, but some of us enjoy tracking. Just a few more spins of the slot machine, hoping for three cherries
  10. Yep, those two max zones have been showing up on a lot of guidance. Feels familiar (although this time the boom zones will be around an inch)
  11. Big wedge, sleet to ice to rain potential on this one I fear
  12. Hires models conceding to King Hires-RGEM and showing very little moisture East of 77
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