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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. The EPS is a bit wetter and warmer, but no big changes. Jackpot zone Northern NC/the southern half of VA
  2. I think it depends on the algorithm, pivotal seems to count ice as snow on the snow depth, so I would use Kuchera.
  3. Seems to be delayed with the primary impulse which has been the trend lately. I think it's going to be a good run for many
  4. Yeah a bit north/weaker HP on the GFS so far
  5. The glacier will hang around until Easter
  6. All but a sliver of VA in double digits is wild. The footprint of this thing is nuts. Very 2010
  7. Let the south bleed begin only to swing back north and crush us all in the last 48 hours
  8. Seems like half the social media weather community is people from the Northeast who will defend any model that shows what they want to see
  9. That run very reminiscent of the January 2022 storm in terms of the wedge
  10. OP GFS pushing the HP further south this run. Not going to be an amped solution for sure
  11. Icon jumped north, more Euro-like. I tend to think of the AI models as predictive of a way to show the most likely direction the OP models will trend. I would tend to think significant snowfall is much more likely North of Charlotte
  12. If everyone (a reminder to myself as well) could try and put your posts in the context of a location that will help make the discussion clearer. What is good for southern VA is not necessarily good for northern GA
  13. Exactly. Extreme ZR totals is all about duration. Heavy precip with that kind of wedge tends to flip to sleet except in a narrow band with surface temps in the mid/upper 20s. That narrow band could set up anywhere and will indeed be a serious issue in all likelihood, but no need to worry too much until we iron out more details
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