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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. Agreed. Something delicious about short sleeves in the 40s this time of year
  2. It has been a good spring for backdoor cold front enthusiasts
  3. A quarter inch of rain never felt so wet.
  4. Getting nervous because some models showing a cutoff to the NW of the heavier precip as far south as I85. I assume this is the GRAF
  5. Seems to be good model agreement on a subforum-wide soaking rain
  6. May has a non-zero shot at being cooler than April. Can't imagine that happens too often
  7. This one maybe is a little more accurate?
  8. Hmmm. What gives them confidence in high winds that far out? Seems odd. Doesn't seem to be a particularly strong storm signal or anything.
  9. Lol, are we sure it's not January? A model battle between GFS CMC ICON vs Euro, UKMET, RGEM, north trend south trend disagreement, low tracking of the coast of Florida? But what about sun angle?
  10. Not liking the northern cutoff. Often sharper than modeled
  11. Still running near record low precip since October
  12. Thought y'all might get a kick out of this
  13. Ensembles people. Also the rainfall potential this weekend was always paltry (few models more than .25), the wetter period starts later next week and has mostly held the course
  14. I agree to a point, but it seems likely we will get multiple opportunities over the next two weeks. Sometimes a few .5" rainfalls is better than one big 2" rainfall for busting drought. Hopefully we can stop the bleeding anyway
  15. Last few runs of the Euro AI have just been comical
  16. Euro vs EL nino climo. I think slightly below normal starting in May is a good bet. Which honestly isn't the worst outcome to keep the drought from accelerating.
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