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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Yeah it's great to see that we could get accumulating snow even with the less amplified solutions knowing that a more amplified look would increase rates and crash temps even faster. That is, if the trough can stay sufficiently far south
  2. olafminesaw
    Of course, Kuchera will be more accurate, but that's still pretty sweet. I hope somehow Raleigh gets 3"+ just for the memes
  3. olafminesaw
    Can you please schedule a surgery for December 25?
  4. olafminesaw
    Yep! Hard to ignore the trends, going to come down to temps/rates at this point
  5. olafminesaw
  6. olafminesaw
    I don't disagree with where this is going. Everything has to go perfectly. I think up along the VA border may do okay with this event, especially if trends towards a more amped system continue
  7. olafminesaw
    GFS has the Wake county screw zone so it must be correct
  8. olafminesaw
    It always seems like this would happen growing up in Northern Virginia. We'd get a big snow and then a few days later a sneaky little system that uptrended at the last minute to drop a few inches
  9. olafminesaw
    We just got RGEMed
  10. olafminesaw
    The 6z GFS made a big change up top. Not far from something halfway decent
  11. olafminesaw
    Holy cow, just incredible temp swings at GSO
  12. olafminesaw
    Euro AI is pretty amped. Definitely trending towards a little snow, although temps will be borderline for accumulation
  13. olafminesaw
    Me after getting the deformation band but checking every model run hoping for a little wet snow
  14. olafminesaw
    Some in that Western max had over 20:1 ratios. GSO reported .4" liquid
  15. olafminesaw
    9", should be about wrapped up
  16. olafminesaw
    Just over 4" in South Greensboro
  17. olafminesaw
    He called it days ago
  18. olafminesaw
    This zone has been getting pounded all day.
  19. olafminesaw
    Feel pretty happy with the map I made last night based on how things are currently playing out
  20. olafminesaw
    Deformation band about to swing through too should be 1"per hour rates easy
  21. olafminesaw
    The RAP hasn't been perfect but it has easily been the best short range model for this storm so far. Consistent on showing the dry slot in the right place and the band from Charlotte extending up to the VA border.
  22. olafminesaw
    You can see the dry slot begining to shrink, I think Wake county should be getting into it in about 2-3 more hours
  23. olafminesaw
    Sorry Raleigh friends
  24. olafminesaw
    Models are notorious for under doing moisture associated with robust ULLs. I think the Western ULL piece will over perform West of 85 and the coastal generally underperform
  25. olafminesaw
    Already a dusting at GSO, bodes well as that frontogenesis gets cranking
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