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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Reloads nicely after the 15th as well. Very cold run after the pattern change
  2. olafminesaw
    Feels like late phase has been a big issue for years now. In fact, I can't remember the last big juicy coastal winter storm (regardless of precip type)
  3. olafminesaw
  4. olafminesaw
    I'm also thinking the storm around the 15th is more of a Northeast threat and sets the stage for more southerly storm tracks
  5. olafminesaw
    A lot may hinge on the NAO cooperating as to whether this pattern is legit or not
  6. olafminesaw
    Seems like the sort of pattern where we may get frequent shots at light accumulation but no big storm threat.
  7. olafminesaw
  8. olafminesaw
    All three major indices favorable (albeit near neutral mid-month), may be hard for models to resolve
  9. olafminesaw
  10. olafminesaw
    Yeah, as much as the concern has been that cold dumps to our West, it seems like the trend today has been to make any cold air in North America disappear
  11. olafminesaw
    Given the -NAO, we would have to really be cursed not to get any cold air in Jan. Linking up the moisture with the cold is of course another matter
  12. olafminesaw
    GEFS and AI GEFS both showing cold around the 12th, while the EPS is warm
  13. olafminesaw
    Obviously seems like a kick the can situation but beyond the first reshuffle looking good on the AI GEFS
  14. olafminesaw
    Yeah, even if PNA developed as advertised yesterday, there is usually a lag before we see impacts. Now that too is in question. Anyone know how PNA works together with Enso? I would think they would be interrelated.
  15. olafminesaw
    My wife's home town in Wyoming broke it's record for Christmas eve by 9 degrees and tied the all time December high temp of 65
  16. olafminesaw
    Eric webb is one of the best, However he does tend to be a bit reactionary
  17. olafminesaw
    Record low humidity this afternoon for this date and nearly for the month of December (around 15%)
  18. olafminesaw
    I think there may be a little more hope for February this year with a fading Nina (possibly neutral by then)
  19. olafminesaw
  20. olafminesaw
    The dewpoint has nearly continuously risen for the past 72 hours from 2 degrees up to 53
  21. olafminesaw
    It really just sounds like an argument over if the glass is half full or half empty. I choose to appreciate the flakes we got even though it's frustrating to have been so close to more significant accumulation
  22. olafminesaw
    Oh yeah, that'll totally happen
  23. olafminesaw
    NOAA is rolling out new AI models, including a hybrid model combining the GEFS and the AI GEFS https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models
  24. olafminesaw
    Also the earliest in the year it has gotten this cold at GSO since Nov 25th 1970
  25. olafminesaw
    Tied with 2024. The last time it dropped colder than 11 was Dec 2022 when it dropped to 5.
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