jburns

Nice shot of Izzy

Crapfest here. Ground is white but less than an inch. Sleeted most of the day but never at a heavy rate. Sad thing is we actually had real winter storm temperatures for a change. Started out at 21º this morning and after lunch it slowly climbed to what it is currently, 28º. Congrats to all who scored enough to make it worth the time tracking.

Man I didn’t want to hear this. Raleigh is usually right about this type event but damn I hate ice. Models are coming into better agreement with the details, and confidence is increasing that this will be less of a snow event and more of a freezing rain/rain event.

I think it is terrible how many Mets have to take second jobs just to make ends meet.

Damn kvegas, what makes you think you can forecast weather when you can’t even handle time.

Interesting. I feel this is our best shot for the winter. In case no one noticed the average high temp at PTI yesterday was 47.8º. Today it is 47.9º. That’s right, yesterday on average was the coldest day of the year. We need to get our snow now because the temps have started their long climb toward our 88.1º summer.

I know this is late but I’ve been out all day. I don’t think you’re making the correct read on the graphic. It is not a “don’t let perfect get in the way of good” kind of graphic. Quite the opposite. By using values like 22%, 27% etc. instead of just rounding them to the nearest 5 they have made it an “imitation of accuracy to 1% without corroborating data” kind of graphic.

And that is why starting a storm thread six days out is not a good idea.

NADA Saturday NWS Forecast for Banvile NC - A chance of rain after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Also, hysterically incorrect.

Another lie of this magnitude and there will be serious consequences.

I’ll be ready.

Film at 11.

The inch or two of rain that will have fallen before any change over will also make any accumulation even more unlikely. In general I am a strong proponent of snow rate overcoming warm ground but there is a limit.