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About jburns

  • Birthday 11/06/1947

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Archdale, NC

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  1. Farmers Almanac or the new GFS. It's a damn difficult choice.
  2. Easy fix. Switch the headers in the temp and precip columns. BOOM great winter ahead.
  3. Only 1.58" for the entire month here. Lots of storms all around but never a direct hit.
  4. We only need the right two minutes of sun. It's a bit early to start worrying. Hell, even one little innocent cumulus could cover the sun at just the wrong time on an otherwise cloud free day. It will be a crap shoot.
  5. So what kind of phone are you going to buy on the 22nd?
  6. A deep understanding of the universe and all that it contains.
  7. .THIS AFTERNOON...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WINDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. What does this "40 percent" mean? ...will it rain 40 percent of of the time? ...will it rain over 40 percent of the area? The "Probability of Precipitation" (PoP) describes the chance of precipitation occurring at any point you select in the area. How do forecasters arrive at this value? Mathematically, PoP is defined as follows: PoP = C x A where "C" = the confidence that precipitation will occur somewhere in the forecast area, and where "A" = the percent of the area that will receive measureable precipitation, if it occurs at all. So... in the case of the forecast above, if the forecaster knows precipitation is sure to occur ( confidence is 100% ), he/she is expressing how much of the area will receive measurable rain. ( PoP = "C" x "A" or "1" times ".4" which equals .4 or 40%.) But, most of the time, the forecaster is expressing a combination of degree of confidence and areal coverage. If the forecaster is only 50% sure that precipitation will occur, and expects that, if it does occur, it will produce measurable rain over about 80 percent of the area, the PoP (chance of rain) is 40%. ( PoP = .5 x .8 which equals .4 or 40%. ) In either event, the correct way to interpret the forecast is: there is a 40 percent chance that rain will occur at any given point in the area.
  8. The Rockingham County Public Libraries in Eden, Reidsville, Madison and Stoneville will hold eclipse viewing events at 1:30 p.m. Bring a lawn chair and solar viewing glasses. While supplies last, first come/first-served, free solar viewing glasses will be available, starting August 2, at Rockingham County Public Library branches. Anyone who wishes to have a pair must sign a liability waiver form, parents signing for their children age 18 and under. Sad.
  9. That would be a fun day on Ocracoke.
  10. No photography for me. I've decided to just take it all in without any distractions.
  11. You don't have to stay inside. Just do not look directly at the sun.
  12. I'm afraid it is going to get too dark to see it.
  13. Well, let's see. 20 + 50 + 70 = a 140% chance of rain. Of course, there is less than a 50% chance of the 140% occurring.
  14. Yep. As far as the classes being open to everyone you have to look at the ratio of athletes and regular students. Fifty percent of the students taking the bogus classes were athletes. Athletes make up four percent of the student body. That defense is not going to stand. Also, the fact it went on for 18 years is the main reason one of the charges is "lack of institutional control". Luckily for UNC, after seeing what happened to SMU and their conference when they were given the death penalty, the NCAA will probably never issue another one. In any case, it is never a good strategy to tell the person or group that will be judging you to f*ck off. That is essentially what UNC has done. I was in court one day for a school related situation and watched one of my former students be led into court by his attorney. I had a lot of dealings with that kid and he was never wrong and always had to get the last word. Sure enough, when the judge sentenced him to 30 days in the county jail, his response was, "That's bullsh*t". The judge doubled it to 60 days and got the response, "That's still bull****". Before his attorney and the bailiff could basically drag him out of the courtroom he was up to a year and a day at the county work farm. When someone asks me who was the dumbest person I ever taught I relate this story. UNC is right at that level in this case. I think it is going to be ugly.