Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[steve392]

I'm guessing we'll have a heavy wet snow vs light and fluffy powder, correct? 

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, steve392 said:

I'm guessing we'll have a heavy wet snow vs light and fluffy powder, correct? 

Yep

[bluewave]

7 minutes ago, SleetStormNJ said:

The city did well in Boxing Day.  

We all did great with that one but the jackpot was west of the Hudson in NJ.

[SleetStormNJ]

2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

We all did great with that one but the jackpot was west of the Hudson in NJ.

Rahway came in with a huge total, was challenging to trust measurements with that one because drifting was so intense.

[steve392]

4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yep

Gunna suck clearing this 

[bluewave]

Just now, SleetStormNJ said:

Rahway came in with a huge total, was challenging to trust measurements with that one because drifting was so intense.

That was our last top tier KU event in December. 

[Noteaster101]

1 hour ago, NJwx85 said:

This is still playing it pretty conservative for our area. I told my Wife "12 to 18 inches" and she said, "In your dreams" LOL

I’m here in Pearl River, New York, one of the rare few times I’m glad to be in the most southern and eastern part of Rockland County. Looks like every mile south and east can make a big difference with this storm.

[MANDA]

5 minutes ago, bluewave said:

We all did great with that one but the jackpot was west of the Hudson in NJ.

I was not living here for that storm, was in far s.e. Morris County and I ended up with 16".  Meanwhile a 15-20 min drive to my east that had 25-30".

[SACRUS]

1 minute ago, bluewave said:

That was our last top tier KU event in December. 

 

When is the last west of forecast coastal - i truly cant remember in the last 7 - 8 years.?  When it used to be a routine occurrence.  Not a southwest flow event - i mean true miller a/b or c.

[Brian5671]

13 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I got 25 inches.  My area was a mess with cars stucke everywhere. 

it's still a mess here with large piles everywhere-even another 6-8 inches will make them even bigger and be around til may lol

[Stormlover74]

5 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Gunna suck clearing this 

At least no sleet 

[Xeimonas]

I like the "high end" amounts (10% chance) from Upton

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, MANDA said:

I was not living here for that storm, was in far s.e. Morris County and I ended up with 16".  Meanwhile a 15-20 min drive to my east that had 25-30".

What a nasty western cutoff from nothing to glory in about 60 miles

[SI Mailman]

We all did great with that one but the jackpot was west of the Hudson in NJ.

I had 30 inches on Staten Island

[NJwx85]

4 minutes ago, MANDA said:

I was not living here for that storm, was in far s.e. Morris County and I ended up with 16".  Meanwhile a 15-20 min drive to my east that had 25-30".

 That was a true Miller A with a big, deep trough that cutoff over the TN Valley, however the abrupt cutoff is similar to what we will see with this storm. 

[jm1220]

7 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Gunna suck clearing this 

It’ll probably have the same water content as Jan 25th’s.  

[BoulderWX]

4 minutes ago, MANDA said:

I was not living here for that storm, was in far s.e. Morris County and I ended up with 16".  Meanwhile a 15-20 min drive to my east that had 25-30".

I had 7" vs 20+ 20 miles east... this storm reminds me of that one but not as powerful,

[jerseyshorewxguy]

I had 30 inches on Staten Island

31 in Belmar where i worked -- it was a snowpocalypse --- the difference between the impact of 24 (where i lived in northern monmouth county and 31 in southern Mo Co was noticeable --- abandoned or stuck cars everywhere


.

[Prue11]

Let’s take guesses. Is anyone seeing 2’ from this?

[LoboLeader1]

1 hour ago, njwx7 said:

SREF looking good!

 

978 low-pressure is pretty strong, that's comparable to a CAT 1 cane intensity.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

What a nasty western cutoff from nothing to glory in about 60 miles

Less than that. Eastern Orange County with 26 inches, western Orange County with 4 inches. That was less than 30 miles here.

[Nibor]

6 minutes ago, Xeimonas said:

I like the "high end" amounts (10% chance) from Upton

This is also acceptable.

[brooklynwx99]

NAM is significantly more phased

[bluewave]

14 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

When is the last west of forecast coastal - i truly cant remember in the last 7 - 8 years.?  When it used to be a routine occurrence.  Not a southwest flow event - i mean true miller a/b or c.

I  believe the 2-1-21 KU event and the follow up system about a week later. But the Canadian did have the wild further west run about week before which was close to what verified. Even though the Euro was too suppressed for both systems.

[David-LI]

500s look great. We are about to get NAM'D!

[coastalplainsnowman]

7 minutes ago, Prue11 said:

Let’s take guesses. Is anyone seeing 2’ from this?

lol I see we're in the phase now where expectations get set so high that some people will be sad on Monday morning even if they get 19".  And I include me in 'some people', because once I see those crazy numbers this close to the event, I start to cash them in.  That's a me problem.  But not a just me problem I bet lol.

[NJwx85]

My first call:

 

[WeatherGeek2025]

54 minutes ago, Uniblab said:

Were you weatherfeen? 

 

yes it's me feen, a.k.a tonylovesnow. Sorry if i ever offended anyone im a new man and ive changed into a whole new still annoying but a bit more mature. 

@TriPolyes that was my picture i floated around on twitter. Cause i do believe if we tuck a little more it could realistically mimic Boxing day blizzard at least to a point!  

[Dan76]

We have a storm watch people  up to 55KTS

[David-LI]

Here it comes.