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Stormlover74

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Everything posted by Stormlover74

  1. Stormlover74

    Spring 2019 Banter Thread

    Happy spring. Bring on nice weather, green grass, flowers and all that crap
  2. The radar reminds me of a certain winter storm which shall not be mentioned
  3. And just like that it's gone overcast
  4. Up to 72 here but dewpoint is dropping
  5. Yeah there was a decent stretch of cold the final 10 days that month
  6. Stormlover74

    Spring 2019 Banter Thread

    This weather blows
  7. Just getting some heavy rain at the moment. No thunder
  8. Stormlover74

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    Looks like another batch of showers and downpours approaching
  9. Stormlover74

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    I don't remember the last overnight tornado watch we had
  10. Stormlover74

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    Should be getting a watch soon
  11. Stormlover74

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    Updated Upton discussion Strengthening low pressure moves from the Ohio Valley this evening to Upstate New York by late. LLJ helps push a warm front farther north, with the entire forecast area in the warm sector. A trailing cold front then reaches west of the Hudson towards daybreak. There`s enough moisture and lift for chances of showers at any given point tonight, but high res models continue to key on the main focus for showers and thunderstorms after midnight. The main line of showers and thunderstorms will enter western zones 06z to 09z, and then quickly move across the NYC/NJ metro 09z to 12z, and then across eastern zones shortly thereafter. The line will be forced by convergence of a +3 to +4 standard deviation PWAT subtropical moisture plume ahead of the front as well as deep layered lift enhanced by upper jet dynamics. Forecast rainfall amounts are generally 1/2 to 1 inch across the region with locally higher amounts possible. Much of this rain may come within the line of showers and thunderstorms. Minor urban and poor drainage flooding is the main threat. The relatively fast movement of the showers and thunderstorms should limit any flash flooding threat, but WPC does have marginal to slight risk for excessive rainfall from around NYC and points west. SPC has placed portions of NE NJ, NYC, and the Lower Hudson Valley in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms. This is where there is some surface based CAPE progged by some models. The main threat appears to be damaging wind gusts. The environment is highly sheared with low CAPE, so there is potential for rotation, but the potential is very low. A stronger low-level inversion should limit the severe threat east of the Hudson River where instability is elevated.
  12. Stormlover74

    4/14 - 4/15 Heavy Rain and Squall Line Thread

    Feels like the marine airmass has progressed west. Down to mid 60s, upper 50s nearby
  13. Tornado watch for much of PA
  14. Yeah they're up to 68 now
  15. Very foggy out here too
  16. Finally getting some sun. Up to 50
  17. I don't. Last year was awful particularly August and September
  18. yeah temps are going in the wrong direction. Was 54 earlier now 47
  19. Stormlover74

    Spring 2019 Banter Thread

    Plains blizzard will be very impressive. 2 days of 50 mph winds and 18-24" of snow
  20. Kinda surprised upton is going with mid 60s here with temps hovering in the upper 40s/low 50s of course 60's are nearby so i'm guessing they expect the front to push back north
  21. 78..first shorts day
  22. Yay more humidity because I've always wanted to live in Miami
  23. Fire weather watch for all of NJ tomorrow. Gusts to 45 possible
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