Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Euro still very wet
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Crazy differences
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We probably have a shot at something tomorrow night. Euro and ukie still seem way overdone
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My guess is this weekend will be predominantly dry. Especially tomorrow.
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I see 2 little cells that popped up. One in Bergen one over Queens
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Icon crushes LI and ct with 5+
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Very average day
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It does specify both afternoons as when showers are likely but I think right now it's too difficult to pinpoint
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Part of the problem with these forecasts is it will say 70% chance of showers Saturday and Sunday but end up raining for a total of 4 or 6 hours. I see lots of cancellations of weekend events already
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Either way it's not going to be 5 days straight of rain
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Gfs weekly rainfall
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Euro's probably overdone but it has been pretty consistent with 3"+ from Saturday through Tuesday
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Gfs vs euro
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Supposed to die out
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Gfs only has half an inch for the next 10 days
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Somerville was 39 for a low should make it to 84
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Clear and dry with no wind. Temps drop like a rock
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72 feels cool in the shade Humidity in the upper teens
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Will we see our first heatwave? Severe weather? Or just a continuation of average to below average precip, above average temps and windy conditions?
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Same. Barely looks like it rained
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At least Upton acknowledges guidance has been running too weak The mixing, cold advection, and subsidence behind the departing upper low/trough will support sustained winds and gusts just below advisory levels. NBM deterministic guidance has been running too weak with winds for the last several months, especially in cold advection and NW flow regimes. This appears to be no exception today and have raised sustained winds and wind gusts a bit above the NBM 90th percentile. Sustained NW winds 20-25 mph are likely with gusts 30-40 mph
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Yeah big euro bust. It had 1"+ yesterday
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And today barely counts as it will be under half an inch for most.
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Meh
