Stormlover74

Better off waiting til Sunday morning at this point

Yeah they're getting smoked up there where no mixing occurs and high ratios

It can sniff these out first and can also be horribly wrong of course. Hopefully by Monday the cmc and euro start showing something

Nobody's getting a foot south of 78

This is starting to remind me of that storm in Dec 2013 where we went from teens and snow over to sleet. It was a smaller storm but I remember the crazy temperature differential with like 13 in Sussex and 44 and rain in AC

It can overdo it. We're flipping regardless but hopefully can get a bigger front end thump like the other models have. Problem is we still have 48 hours to go

Upton says I'm all snow through 10 pm Sunday

They mentioned they may need to shave off 3 to 6 from their forecast

30-40 minutes

Reasonable

Yeah and nice front end thump

Rgem really didn't change much accumulation wise

It will fold eventually

No. Its over an inch of liquid

Not aloft

Overall, snow accumulations look to be on the order of 12 to 15 inches for the majority of the area, with slightly less in southern Delmarva. While liquid QPF will be lower in the northern zones, the higher snow ratios will result in higher snow amounts in those areas. The main issue continues to be howmuch mixing will occur and how that will affect snow accumulations. While the overall average looks to be 12 to 15 inches, it is also quite possible for accumulations to be less, generally on the order of 8 to 12 inches from around Philadelphia south, with even less in southern Delmarva and along the extreme southeast New Jersey coast.

Basically unchanged. Maybe a tick drier

Looks mostly the same .75 to 1" by 0z

Nam looks great. A hair weaker but colder

And people see the pretty snowmaps and don't understand that's not a forecast

Most people think 2 feet is coming because social media and Facebook weather people have been hyping it nonstop. Official forecasts don't mean much anymore

Yeah if not for the thaw we would've seen a solid -6 or 7 for the month

Yeah start conservative and adjust later on

Will become wetter before any mixing but will start very light and fluffy due to the very cold temps

Its funny because I always felt like that was well forecast out here. Lloyd lindsay young was calling for up to a foot 2 days out. It was a short duration but fell at 2"/hr for most of it with a little sleet on top