Stormlover74

At least Upton acknowledges guidance has been running too weak The mixing, cold advection, and subsidence behind the departing upper low/trough will support sustained winds and gusts just below advisory levels. NBM deterministic guidance has been running too weak with winds for the last several months, especially in cold advection and NW flow regimes. This appears to be no exception today and have raised sustained winds and wind gusts a bit above the NBM 90th percentile. Sustained NW winds 20-25 mph are likely with gusts 30-40 mph

Yeah big euro bust. It had 1"+ yesterday

And today barely counts as it will be under half an inch for most.

Meh

If saturday's ruined anyway might as well get a decent amount

Euro came in with 1" for areas Saturday while most other models are under .5"

Eastern OH and western PA

Yeah the only F5 to ever hit PA was during that 85 outbreak

Big time

74 already probably hit 80

Was 61 a few hours ago now 57

Cloudy and windy. Still 81 after a high of 84

My weather app says it's currently raining

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded portions of the area to a marginal risk of severe weather this afternoon and evening with the potential for strong thunderstorms bringing gusty winds. #NYwx #CTwx #NJwx

Euro is basically dry the next 8 days or so

Weird it like completely fizzled on radar

Morris NJ- 526 PM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY... At 525 PM EDT, a shower capable of producing damaging winds was located over Kinnelon, or near Pompton Lakes, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible.

The union county fortress keeps away wind and severe weather

Most likely but others have it over the city and LI

Seems like we could see as little as half an inch to over 1.5"

Lol

4 days and not even an inch of rain (gfs has much more)

We're still a week out so anything could still show up