Stormlover74

Doubtful. They're going 30% Thursday night which even that is generous

Yes we know. The gfs is wrong

Gfs is a big hit a week from now. Starts as rain and goes over to heavy snow.

I think it actually does on occasion sniff out the threat first. It'll get everything else wrong of course and flip flop all over the place

Ukie has a strong rainstorm with maybe a flip to snow on the back side

Heaviest rain seems to have moved out already

Euro with light snow Friday

Very wacky precip field but yeah storm is there so doesn't matter at this point

That's prior to the cold air arrival

Please no

It fizzles

So basically its rain to light snow to an all out blizzard over 24 hours

I think the models have mostly been showing a sharp cutoff north of 80.

Yeah they announced it last month I think

Correct.. several moderate events

That's just not true at all especially when we're 1/3 of the way there. You don't think we could get 20" in 2 months without a double digit snowfall?

Yeah it really would be...ahem...threading the needle

Ukie is rain

Gfs still looks like snow on the 18th

I'm glad tomorrow is only rain because it will be a real nailbiter between some places getting anywhere from a quarter inch to over an inch with areas to the south getting 1 to 2" and a very sharp cutoff

Omg chill

Its not looking good. I feel like we wait til after the 20th for anything significant

clouds rolled in but still made it to 51

I believe its still the only winter to have above normal snowfall each month from nov to april

Interesting News from US National Weather Service Eastern Region HQ and NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information: As we remember the Blizzard of '96 which was 30 years ago this week, we also want to take a look back at the rest of the 1995-1996 snow season, of which the Blizzard of '96 was only a part of, especially in the I-95 corridor. This was for many at the time the snow season that would go down as the all-time snowiest ever, and in many cases, these records still hold 3 decades later. As part of the review process, we revisited the seasonal snowfall totals in many areas, and in some cases some data that was not part of the official dataset at the time was added within the last few months at some stations. Thus, this updates some records and as of today, the state seasonal snowfall record for any season for New Jersey is officially recognized as 122.0 inches at High Point Park for the 1995-1996 snow season. This is now considered the snowiest season on record at any station in New Jersey, breaking the prior record long held by the 1915-1916 snow season. To read the full report that explains why this was approved by the State Climate Extremes Committee for New Jersey, go to https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/monitoring-content/extremes/scec/reports/20260106-New-Jersey-Seasonal-Snowfall.pdf?fbclid=IwY2xjawPKM1JleHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETFGUVg2clo5WlpDNUxPVGNSc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHhOirwroeZZkBRsaF-pQR1x4KaequIFlPph93g7TC4Ojqyb7m6TSrgO-1Rx4_aem_hNtO9uFR3acAsgpjcquJ7Q