Brian5671
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Everything posted by Brian5671
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about an inch of slop on the ground here -
Snow here a quick coating
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Snow here quick coating
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Not at all. This one didn't go our way but it certainly could have and no one would be complaining. Leave it as it-we enjoy your thoughts and threads here as is....
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plenty of time to go-I remember thinking 12-13 was going to be horrid but then we got monsters in Feb and Mar
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In fairness I think he's talking snow. But it is surprising the media hasn't hit the wind/flooding issues that will exist here.
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likely overdone but i agree the midlevel torch will be ferocious and move quickly north and west
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If you look at last Feb snow blitz it was perfect-cold enough for snow but not cold enough to suppress everything OTS
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models are usually too quick on pattern flips, so I'd hedge a bit later for sure.
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soft woods like pines would snap for sure.
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for a rainstorm? Lol
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I doubt anyone on LI/NYC Jersey coast sees any snow. SE winds will be picking up before any precip arrives
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heavy rain for most here
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Even there with the track of the storm I bet it flips to sleet/rain much quicker than forecast-screaming E/ESE winds there eventually too
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Exactly. There's some serious wishcasting going on here. This is 95% rain for the coast
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some years we can't win. But still have a solid 2.5 months of chances left so have to hang in there
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exactly. NJ/NYC/LI/CT coasts will quickly torch with strong ESE winds off the warm water. Any cold will quickly be scoured out.
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I'd be surprised with 3-maybe a coating that is quickly washed away especially south of the merritt
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and remember the mid levels often torch faster than modeled-how many times do we go to sleet much earlier than forecast (or go to sleet when no forecast existed for sleet)
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Yep the further west reflections will help warmer air come into coastal regions vs one offshore bomb that would keep winds NE
