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Everything posted by Brian5671
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bands rotating in from the SE here...off and on light to moderate rain all morning-over 2 inches now
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Raining here Witt gusty winds. Precip moving NW off the sound
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NAMS are an east of NYC special and not til tonight
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back and forth we go...radar time tomorrow lol
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media and social media just run wild with everything these days...
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and tomorrow morning will likely be dry lol
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models may be worthless right up to go time for this one...just all over the place
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Upton's AFD notes models struggling with which southern vort turns into the storm-that's why we are seeing the back and forth here
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PRolonged onshore flow though...slow mover
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Literally no market for those since 2021
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media's going crazy with it and sunday now looks dry
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Probably not done trending east...went from a storm to a miss back to a storm and now going back to a miss
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almost nothing through sunday night-wow.
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hopefully we can all get .50 to 1 inch of rain to help with the drought I think that's doable especially nyc and east
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UKMET first to see the Eastern NE special yesterday....
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Still some beneficial rains for us...but I think upton jumped the gun a bit with the HWW-wait another day or so
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One thing to keep in mind is that model wind maps are more often than not overdone...I usually deduct 25%
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 200 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 NYZ075-078>081-176>179-100200- /O.NEW.KOKX.HW.A.0002.251019T1600Z-251020T1000Z/ Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau- Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 200 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY, OCTOBER 19 TO MONDAY, OCTOBER 20... * WHAT...Wind gusts up to 60 mph possible. * WHERE...Kings (Brooklyn), Northeast Suffolk, Northern Nassau, Northern Queens, Northwest Suffolk, Southeast Suffolk, Southern Nassau, Southern Queens, and Southwest Suffolk Counties. * WHEN...From Sunday, October 19 to Monday, October 20. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.
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best rains SW of us by noon Monday-but check out the east flow amts against the mountains in some spots
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I see these AI models posted a bit-do they have any credibility at all?
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You might be looking at an old run-last night's 0z crushes everyone
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