SleetStormNJ

Be patient young Jedi.

Yup. Enough for a jebwalk or two. We will get “ours” again eventually.

Yup. Models honed in on a sharp cut off and wall last 24-36 hours before onset. Nice prolonged light to moderate snow event with some wind for us nonetheless but this one had looks of eastern areas special written on it for a few days. We will have to wait and be patient for our next MECS/HECS here.

HECS up there and on Cape/E. LI. Up there with some other big ones now for sure and amazing how many just in last 20-25 years.

Enjoy it man! Memorable one for you guys out there.

Yup. Weak sauce up here in Union County. Maybe six or seven inches. This was a significant event but nothing more here in Central/Northern Jersey. Glad for LI and Coastal crew. Hope we get something else big over next six weeks for those that missed out.

Yes. Will be interesting to see where the western band sits. Usually delivers goods with fronto/forcing and better ratios away from coast. Can't read snowmaps verbatim.

I like where you sit in this setup. You've done well on some of these tight gradient coastals over the years.

Have to keep in mind the banding features. We won't know the exact orientation/pivot until it's happening. The mesoscale mauler of Feb 2006 comes to mind, along with Boxing Day and March '18.

Have to avoid getting sucked into run to run windshield wiper effect. We need to start measuring model pinpoints and actual observations. No bets are off the table. Seen so many big storms in past with surprises in terms of track, banding, gravity wave enhancement, dry-slots, winds. One thing impressive regardless is the modeling in almost all cases are projecting some serious sustained winds and gusts for coastal areas - NJ/LI and out to RI/Cape.

Definitely either way. This is going to be a tightrope walk and watch situation as these coastals often are. Boxing Day and Jan 2015 come to mind quite a bit, but even some of the big ones we had in March the last five years or so ended up being a nowcast situation where the bands set up and pivoShow Repliest. A 25-30 mile difference or edge west or east makes big differences.

Looks like a dual paintbrush/model hack job by Ant. Goodness.

For good chunk of NJ, Ida (even if remnants) will go up right with Sandy and Floyd in top 3 of impacts over last 30 years (Isaias and Irene not far behind). Sadly, these events are coming closer together in time and with dramatic broader and intensity level impacts (wind or rain/flood, surge) respectively.

Yup. I'm in Kenilworth right nearby and I lucked out, but all towns around me have spots where houses took on major water in basement (either creek, culvert, or just simply stormwater backup). Can hear the choppers surveying impacts.

Parts of CT look to be in deluge now.