“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[moneypitmike]

34 minutes ago, Digityman said:

I'm really liking NH/ME border up to Brunswick over to Dryslot with these north ticks.  

I think you meant Bsth and not brunswick.  

[tunafish]

42 minutes ago, Digityman said:

I'm really liking NH/ME border up to Brunswick over to Dryslot with these north ticks.  

Hey, buddy.  Just like old times.  Enjoy.

[Twitching Trucks]

Warnings finally hoisted out of GYX


Strike that…a warning popped up on my weather app, and I failed to realize I had been checking the weather where my stepson is in buffalo for a hockey tournament

[Ginx snewx]

Those getting heavy wet snow Trees snap at 8 inches 

[Prismshine Productions]

Keeps creeping up... This is at 14:1(EEN is closest airport to me)

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Those getting heavy wet snow Trees snap at 8 inches 

Some explode.

[SouthCoastMA]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Those getting heavy wet snow Trees snap at 8 inches 

might have some damage here. but I think most will be fluffy 

[vortex95]

I don't know.  CoastalWx may not be content w/ what the 12z RRFS is showing.  "Only" 18" in Weymouth, but 40/70 Benchmark in Methuen gets 25".  "I WANT THE MOST!" I can hear him saying! 

His precious DGZ get contaminated by the 700 warm nose and hence SNPL.  -1 to -3 C at 700 not going to cut it near the peak of storm!
 

[mattm4242]

Be very careful if you guys see this

 

[Prismshine Productions]

I don't know.  CoastalWx may not be content w/ what the 12z RRFS is showing.  "Only" 18" in Weymouth, but 40/70 Benchmark in Methuen gets 25".  "I WANT THE MOST!" I can hear him saying! 

His precious DGZ get contaminated by the 700 warm nose and hence SNPL.  -1 to -3 C at 700 not going to cut it near the peak of storm!
 

Gave me 26... Didn't dare post it

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

[Typhoon Tip]

53 minutes ago, FXWX said:

We are reaching the point in time with this event that we have to settle into to doing more meteorology, and a bit less model-olgy...  I am not saying stop looking at the models, but starting spending some time comparing short-range model trends with what the actual surface and upper-level plots re showing?   Take a look at SPC meso plots every couple of hours and see how those plots align with the modeling solutions for the same time; note trends and differences between the actual data plots and the modeled solutions, at several levels (sfc to 500 mb).

As it relates to the sleet issue, the one thing I have learned over the decades, is the strength of arctic air masses is often under-played by the modeling; the attack and overwhelming of the air mass is often over-played.  That is often the case with arctic air masses of less intensity than this one!   

So yes, enjoy looking at all the new runs of the model suites, but pretty soon you (everyone, this not meant for Tip) need to start checking on real-time trends not only across New England, but also the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast and Deep South areas, and see if the reality of the current weather jives with the modeled solutions...  The bottom line is, enjoy this event...

 

 

+Yes, John's nicely picking up where I left off in that missive, "having to now-cast..", offering some methodology in doing so.    

 

[Kitz Craver]

2 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

I don't know.  CoastalWx may not be content w/ what the 12z RRFS is showing.  "Only" 18" in Weymouth, but 40/70 Benchmark in Methuen gets 25".  "I WANT THE MOST!" I can hear him saying! 

His precious DGZ get contaminated by the 700 warm nose and hence SNPL.  -1 to -3 C at 700 not going to cut it near the peak of storm!
 

PF is sitting back smiling with this map. 

[tamarack]

3 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

I don't know.  CoastalWx may not be content w/ what the 12z RRFS is showing.  "Only" 18" in Weymouth, but 40/70 Benchmark in Methuen gets 25".  "I WANT THE MOST!" I can hear him saying! 

His precious DGZ get contaminated by the 700 warm nose and hence SNPL.  -1 to -3 C at 700 not going to cut it near the peak of storm!
 

I'd love that 20+ but would prefer that the grandkids in SNJ got 10+ instead of that map's 4" of SN/IP/ZR mix.

Current forecast for us from GYX is in the 10-16 range.

[moneypitmike]

Several have given the advice to not post Kucci maps….stick with qpf or 10:1 maps and calculate one’s own ratios..

[J Paul Gordon]

Weather Channel app has upoedsnow in my area (Clinton MA) significantly for tomorrow 8 to 12 from 5 to 8 with 8 to 12 tomorrow night and 1 to 3 Monday. They're usually pretty on target for my area. Any reason why? 

[dryslot]

We need to see more tv station met snow maps, Keep them coming.

[Drewtwo]

11 minutes ago, mattm4242 said:

Be very careful if you guys see this

 

what happens to a tree deferred...

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

We need to see more tv station met snow maps, Keep them coming.

Let’s get some arctic sand for you 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

We need to see more tv station met snow maps, Keep them coming.

Almost need a map thread

[dryslot]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Let’s get some arctic sand for you 

I hope so, It packs better

[dryslot]

Just now, dendrite said:

Almost need a map thread

Never understood the fetish for that

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We need to see more tv station met snow maps, Keep them coming.

Better than posting long inaccurate NWS AFD’s

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Better than posting long inaccurate NWS AFD’s

I think they know a hell of a lot more than you do, I’ll roll with that.

[butterfish55]

Better than posting long inaccurate NWS AFD’s

Or copying and pasting P&C forecasts

[HoarfrostHubb]

8 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Several have given the advice to not post Kucci maps….stick with qpf or 10:1 maps and calculate one’s own ratios..

Or scroll on past…

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, butterfish55 said:

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Better than posting long inaccurate NWS AFD’s

Or copying and pasting P&C forecasts

Either one of those should be banned 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I think they know a hell of a lot more than you do, I’ll roll with that.

And the tv Mets know a hell of a lot more than you 

[tunafish]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Almost need a map thread

Great idea. 

Average scroll time of 90 seconds. 

Weenies enter thread, tug away, , leave.

[CoastalWx]

Civil wars beginning 

[ORH_wxman]

12 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said:

Weather Channel app has upoedsnow in my area (Clinton MA) significantly for tomorrow 8 to 12 from 5 to 8 with 8 to 12 tomorrow night and 1 to 3 Monday. They're usually pretty on target for my area. Any reason why?