78Blizzard

Canadian is further E than any of its previous runs, now at the BM @ hr 72.

Uncle finally caves west. Canadian is all alone now.

Canadian refuses to cave. Still has the low just E of ACK, same as 12z. That track makes all the difference in the world for many in SNE.

A little glimmer of hope is that the high resolution models are showing the low in the Midwest further SE than the GFS and Euro, more in line with what the Ukie and Canadian are showing.

Yeah, down here I'll hold off on running my snow blower out of gas for another 24 hours. The other day I took in the stick poles at the front lawn near the street. Taking those in I was afraid I jinxed myself.

Right through til November.

What the Canadian does that is different from the other models is that it gets to E of LI and then heads straight E rather than through SNE.

The Ukie lost that dual low at 12z, but consolidated it west.

Uncle says it is.

I think it's a fairly safe prediction that NNE ski season will see one of its earliest endings at many slopes.

Meanwhile, Boston looks to be about +7°F AN for the first week of March.

Wait-a-day model mayhem:

My thoughts on this winter:

The Euro will suck us all in until day 2, then

I like your optimism but speculating on 11 day potential just won't cut it after this latest day 2 failure. Long range and even medium range model confidence has been found wanting this winter season. Earlier this winter others were being criticized for posting such long range op runs.