CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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About CT Rain

  • Birthday September 17

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    West Hartford, CT

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  1. Yup agree with this and Will's points. We were never going to be Singapore or South Korea - but it also didn't have to be as bad as it's about to be. Let's hope we can get our collective sh*t together moving forward.
  2. Italy also had a drop before a skyrocketing death rate. Seems like there's some lag between peak death rates and peak hospitalizations/positive tests.
  3. Better late than never? https://apnews.com/090600c299a8cf07f5b44d92534856bc
  4. Japan is especially concerning. Tokyo seems ripe for a pretty big outbreak. I don't think people understand that the world is going to be battling hot spots for years.
  5. I thought this was a great piece this morning in the Times about the difficulty communicating science that's uncertain and dealing with a steady stream of misinformation/disinformation from the likes of Fox News. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/03/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-fake-news.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage There are definitely some similarities with messaging and communicating a pandemic and how we message uncertain weather events. Not easy.
  6. I think part of it in SE Asia is that they learned the lessons from SARS - but there's also a cultural difference of individualism vs collectivism.
  7. Basically. Not this - The U.S. was beset by denial and dysfunction as the coronavirus raged Or even what we're doing now. The governor of Maryland had his wife (who's of Korean descent) work on a behind the scenes deal to secure PPE for the state from South Korea. That is completely insane and should be handled by the federal government.
  8. Is this even a real question? I'd probably look at what a lot of places in SE Asia have done to flatten the curve. Get testing up to speed. Not downplay and ignore it and call it the flu for weeks. We had a bit of a head start and squandered it. Hopefully we'll all come together and fight back as best we can but man we're in a bad spot now.
  9. Well I think it's pretty clear the initial response was a disaster. Issues at the top, issues with the beauracracy, and just bad policy leading up to this (gutting pandemic response teams, general anti-science and anti-government sentiment). Regardless, what's done is done. Time to look forward for now and make sure we're doing things to flatten the curve and save lives. My initial point was that things are going to get real messy if by Memorial Day there's really no end in sight to the lock down.
  10. I have no idea what this means.
  11. Well of course they're on the front lines - but you need guidance from the feds. You also have an entire cable tv network and online media ecosystem spouting disinformation or lies. But this also isn't a hurricane impacting 2 states. It's a hurricane impacting the entire country and the entire world. The fact states are fighting with one another and the feds for PPE is mind boggling. The initial testing debacle was a federal issue - not a state issue. So yes, the states are doing what they can but their backs are up against the wall due to the extreme incompetence in DC.
  12. As this spreads to all states and regions I think perceptions will change. This isn't just going to be a NYC/urban/blue state issue. Also I loved this piece by Charlie Warzel in the Times this morning about the rise of misinformation, disinformation, and flawed amateur analysis. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/03/opinion/sunday/coronavirus-fake-news.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage People want answers but there aren't a lot of answers right now because there's a lot we don't know. We see this in meteorology a lot... people want a deterministic forecast but probabilistic forecasts are really the way to go. How to we convey uncertainty and how do people respond to that? It's a really challenging question that we're doing on the fly here.
  13. I do think once we get past Memorial Day what we're doing now in untenable. The response from the federal government has been so poor and ineffective we're really in a bad spot. Gotta hope for some really amazing improvements in treatment and testing or else we're going to have a real meltdown.
  14. This is correct. Unless you have testing up to a scale not seen recently, can institute strict quarantine measures for families of those who test positive, and/or have effective treatments short of a vaccine things aren't really going to return to normal anytime soon.
  15. I give it until Memorial Day