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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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About CT Rain

  • Birthday September 17

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KHFD
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  • Location:
    West Hartford, CT

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  1. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    Not much CIN out there now that we're like 90/75 lol Some storms - and maybe an isolated wet microburst given about 1200 j/kg of DCAPE.
  2. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    The 12km NAM has somewhat better low level shear which was interesting but it seems like it's on its own with a funky looking 850hpa jet.
  3. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    I'm pretty meh for tomorrow around here. Looks pretty blah with very weak wind fields. Looks a lot better for Ekster and Legro.
  4. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    There was no TDS with this one. My guess is that the circulation was very shallow (maybe only 1 or 2,000 feet) so any lofted debris was under the radar beam. I thought it could be low end EF-2 based on some of the damage pics and the similarities to Revere. But I know Glenn and Kevin did the survey and they're great so I take their word for it. Those roofs may not have been the most well built and there wasn't a whole lot of other structural damage besides siding and shingles blown off. The tree damage didn't look as severe as the May 15 stuff in CT either.
  5. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    Yeah the models actually were in worse agreement with this one than the overnight ORH county tornado a week ago. This mesolow was definitely weaker but got the job done. Of interest to me was the SPC mesoanalysis was undergoing the SRH significantly. The objective analysis had <100 at OKX at 12z but the morning balloon launch had nearly 200. That really jumped out at me. All morning we saw a bunch of small mesos and one finally went to town.
  6. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    Watch the mesolow/warm front tomorrow....
  7. Interesting. Their new WCM is Nelson Vaz - he just started. It's hard on those damage surveys to get everywhere so things get missed.
  8. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    Well that's intriguing. Another little mesolow makes a run at us Saturday. Seems like a severe weather/flash flood risk in a small area near it.
  9. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    Yup. not much forcing but plenty of CAPE and deep layer shear.
  10. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    That’s one of your better calls.
  11. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    If you want your classic supercell tornado like 1989 or 2011 you need the great lapse rates. This time of year we more often that not get tornadoes not from those epic setups but from setups like this. Deep moisture, anomalously strong mid level flow with a trough to the west, and a warm front coming through. 2013 Windsor, Revere, 2008 NH, etc are all examples of a super moist profile with enough shear to get the convective elements to spin.
  12. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    Depends on what you’re looking for. Many of our late July and August tornadoes occur with crap lapse rates.
  13. CT Rain

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    Sooooo.... 21z SREF, latest HRRR, 00z NAM definitely have me concerned about a midday tornado threat.
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